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World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership

FIFA Vol. $737,090 50 traders

46m-50m100%
58m+0%
54m-58m0%
38m-42m0%
$737,090 Vol. FIFA

Outcomes

9
Chance
<30m Resolved
0% ▼ 1
30m-34m Resolved
0%
34m-38m Resolved
0%
38m-42m Resolved
0% ▼ 1
42m-46m Resolved
0% ▼ 1
46m-50m
>99% ▲ 6
50m-54m Resolved
0%
54m-58m Resolved
0% ▼ 1
58m+
<1% ▼ 6

Recent trades

40
  • 0x7275…8b45 BUY No $5.00 37m ago
  • 0xa0ba…5ae5 BUY No $3.00 1h ago
  • 0xcbcc…1377 BUY No $10.11 1h ago
  • 0xad70…4ccf BUY No $2.26 1h ago
  • 0x8192…0664 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xa8fc…5111 SELL Yes $99.90 5h ago
  • 0xa0ba…5ae5 BUY No $10.00 7h ago
  • 0xdbb0…e607 BUY No $5.00 8h ago
  • 0x45f2…722e SELL Yes $53.19 8h ago
  • 0x3ef9…297c BUY No $1.00 9h ago
  • 0xf8e6…98eb SELL Yes $5.54 10h ago
  • 0xd496…0ab0 SELL Yes $9.99 11h ago
  • 0xf757…8168 BUY No $25.00 11h ago
  • 0xf757…8168 BUY No $10.00 11h ago
  • 0x32d1…e5c8 BUY No $1.00 11h ago
  • 0xdbb0…e607 BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0xc22e…40c0 SELL Yes $6.44 13h ago
  • 0xf580…d7c6 BUY No $15.17 15h ago
  • 0x5960…d692 SELL Yes $149.84 15h ago
  • 0xdf17…97d1 BUY Yes $4995.00 15h ago
  • 0xecaa…77a9 SELL Yes $13485.01 16h ago
  • 0xf580…d7c6 BUY No $0.23 16h ago
  • 0xf580…d7c6 BUY No $49.10 16h ago
  • 0x5eda…92a7 SELL Yes $33.37 17h ago
  • 0xf580…d7c6 BUY No $3.61 17h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.04 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x816b…9ec7 BUY No $57.49 Jul 23
  • 0x5c8e…8d30 BUY No $24.63 Jul 23
  • 0xf457…ac4e BUY Yes $0.05 Jul 23
  • 0xf757…8168 BUY No $99.90 Jul 23
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.

Comments

Anieexoxo 4h ago

People are underestimating how much kickoff time and the finalists will drive the numbers

0xd5c4198C56EfEdF58B894Aad0ADCd8fb6d579002-1760701549713 11h ago

if its not 58m+ polymarket is a scam

woaiwojiani 11h ago

文字游戏罢了,别玩了

starquants1 15h ago

I got caught by Polymarket's typical wordplay. I was hoping UMA would reach the right decision, but it turned out to be meaningless.

woaiwojiani 15h ago

这种文字游戏就是搞笑,没法玩了

Snow-White 18h ago

but Axios said it was 62 million! 🤣🤣🤣

starquants1 Jul 23

I don't understand why this dispute happened. The data seems so clear to me, so why did the price end up like this?

Rex416 Jul 23

reading and math are difficult

LEGENDARY101 Jul 23

Bro help us with the math here

OlderBatman 23h ago

I recommend selling all the shares you have as quickly as possible and reading some of the votes on the UMA server

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

Very illigal if 46-50m win

woaiwojiani Jul 23

对,我刚才以为没了,现在还有200u,我赶紧买了58以上

Snow-White Jul 23

you had a $3000 PnL then you pissed it away on scams like these lol u IDIOT

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

Good for u

0x714422480dfE194a1Ba9c9c47C893417E8B9790F-1771268017124 Jul 23

w

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

Lol dispute it nielsen is not saying anything

Snow-White Jul 23

^ lying retard

PrinceofPrediction Jul 23

Am I going to win or loose again

Nordboyy Jul 23

Nielsen: the World Cup final drew 38.9M viewers on Fox, and 22M+ on Telemundo; taken together, the US audience size rivaled that of NFL playoff games * Mediagazer

Nordboyy Jul 23

www bloomberg com/news/articles/2026-07-21/world-cup-breaks-us-viewership-record-with-62-million-for-final

Nordboyy Jul 23

/www espn com/soccer/story/_/id/49420870/world-cup-final-peaks-60m-viewers-north-america

LEGENDARY101 Jul 23

Easy Win just have to hold No for 2 days

Coin.dealer Jul 23

So it’s 46-50m you think

Nordboyy Jul 23

www axios com/2026/07/21/world-cup-final-viewership-record

Nordboyy Jul 23

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

Nordboyy Jul 23

Spain’s defeat of Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final scored a record US TV audience of more than 62 million viewers, including 38.9 million fans for Fox’s English-language broadcast, according to Nielsen ratings * Bloomberg

Nordboyy Jul 23

Mr Rex416 opens positions and plays with disputes

Savage-Snow Jul 23

Total viewership in the United States (Fox + Telemundo/Peacock): 62,837,000. Broadcast on Fox only (English-language broadcast): 38,937,000. The rules do not explicitly state which figure will be used for the count, but I assume the combined total of both figures will be considered.?

Nordboyy Jul 23

Thats why 46-50 has nothing to do with reality, not sure about 58+

Nordboyy Jul 23

58+ has more reason, 46-50 itotally missed

Nordboyy Jul 23

Total viewers reported by Nielsen’s Persons 2+ 38,937,000

Savage-Snow Jul 23

The English-language broadcast on Fox averaged 38.937 million viewers. The Spanish version, on Telemundo and Peacock, averaged 23.9 million. It adds up to 62.837 million viewers. Why the fuck 46-50m?

Nordboyy Jul 23

both brackets are wrong if we look at Nielsen report, stupid bots

Savage-Snow Jul 23

Total viewership in the United States (Fox + Telemundo/Peacock): 62,837,000. Broadcast on Fox only (English-language broadcast): 38,937,000. The rules do not explicitly state which figure will be used for the count, but I assume the combined total of both figures will be considered.

Rex416 Jul 23

GG

starquants1 Jul 23

why? gg?

Rex416 Jul 23

You won son

LEGENDARY101 Jul 23

Bro share the source.

beggarrr 20h ago

Scammer

MarketManipulatorAlagator Jul 23

yall really thought that lame match would get over 58m

YourAnimeGirl Jul 22

GG 63m. I sold both 54-58 and 58+ at a same time so I lost only 1-2%

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

I sold comebine so I don't lost anything

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

I sold 55-58 + 58m+ at a sametime so I lost 1-2%

eeeell Jul 23

fock you

YourAnimeGirl Jul 23

What I did to you?

woaiwojiani Jul 21

这些人怎么想的,西语已经出来了2260万,想要超过5800万英语至少要3600万,还买是

eeeell Jul 21

还是这个是观看平均人数,美国队那场平均才37m,西语+英语50m

woaiwojiani Jul 21

大概率5500万

eeeell Jul 21

我问deepseek和gemini都是40m左右,美国队上次才30m

woaiwojiani Jul 21

西语已经出来了2260万,英语最多给个3300万,大概就是5500万左右

eeeell Jul 21

在哪看到的,nielsen没找到

YourAnimeGirl Jul 21

"World Cup Finals on Track for Record-Breaking Ratings With 23 Million Viewers on Telemundo".

YourAnimeGirl Jul 20

Fox English: Minimum 40 million (Historically, Fox's viewership for a final has never been less than the peak viewership of a USA match). With this year's halftime show, extra time, Donald Trump, and a U.S. stadium, 40 million is the floor, and it could even reach 45M+ or 50M+ if a miracle happens. Telemundo (TAD) + Stream: Minimum 20 million. The Argentina vs. Switzerland match drew 11.8 million viewers on Spanish-language television, even though it wasn't a final. It is hard to believe that the match between Spain and Argentina will have fewer than 20 million viewers under the conditions I mentioned above when estimating the Fox English viewership. Total: 60 million plus without a doubt; 54 million+ is guaranteed. Fun fact, if count all sources (even source is not in Nielsen report), it can be easy to reach 80m+

YourAnimeGirl Jul 20

Feel like half time show will be MVP

YourAnimeGirl Jul 22

63m hehe. Call me goat.

bigticketchicken Jul 20

lfg

YourAnimeGirl Jul 20

At least 65m after watching the match. The half time show will make sure it will pass

eeeell Jul 20

average,bro

YourAnimeGirl Jul 20

still easy look at movie market 40% drop on Minion and Toy Story 5 and 30%+ drop on Odyssey tell a story

YourAnimeGirl Jul 19

At least 55m so I buy 54m-58 and 58m+ bracket