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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol. $47,040,016 940 traders

Yes30%
No71%
$47,040,016 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30% ▼ 1

Recent trades

24
  • 0x4bf4…7021 BUY Yes $43.94 21m ago
  • 0x7f9b…fa2e BUY Yes $200.00 29m ago
  • 0xfc70…69bc SELL Yes $2.32 34m ago
  • 0xa70b…e5ea BUY No $1.17 34m ago
  • 0x15aa…ff02 BUY Yes $14.00 37m ago
  • 0x35bb…009b BUY No $81.07 38m ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $0.84 38m ago
  • 0x64b2…55de SELL No $0.05 38m ago
  • 0x35bb…009b BUY No $546.00 38m ago
  • 0xe9b8…4a38 SELL Yes $2.00 39m ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $0.43 39m ago
  • 0x8fce…2566 BUY No $239.55 39m ago
  • 0x4a18…73b2 BUY No $1.10 41m ago
  • 0x4a18…73b2 BUY No $1.10 41m ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $5.08 41m ago
  • 0x4a18…73b2 BUY No $1.10 41m ago
  • 0x57c4…0b40 SELL No $8.63 41m ago
  • 0x4804…3f54 SELL No $9.58 41m ago
  • 0x8044…38fa SELL No $8.63 41m ago
  • 0x0a3b…4583 BUY No $1.10 41m ago
  • 0x4a18…73b2 BUY No $1.10 41m ago
  • 0x64b2…55de SELL No $0.30 41m ago
  • 0xdf17…97d1 SELL No $2786.83 41m ago
  • 0x174b…5a55 SELL Yes $1182.96 42m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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