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Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

Geopolitics Vol. $821,509 50 traders

March 31, 20276%
September 300%
December 310%
$821,509 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

3
Chance
September 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
March 31, 2027
6% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $1.36 1h ago
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $18.20 1h ago
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $197.97 2h ago
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $54.89 8h ago
  • 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY Yes $4.00 11h ago
  • 0x8312…133d SELL No $29.05 16h ago
  • 0x3f2d…2adc BUY Yes $7.18 16h ago
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $404.20 17h ago
  • 0x8a00…e2c4 SELL No $411.72 17h ago
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $423.00 17h ago
  • 0x8a07…f329 SELL No $392.92 17h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $12.33 18h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.80 18h ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 BUY Yes $6.34 18h ago
  • 0xc93c…52f1 SELL Yes $504.15 18h ago
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.01 18h ago
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $0.18 18h ago
  • 0x3140…214f SELL No $16.24 18h ago
  • 0x64d6…e8f4 SELL Yes $74.40 18h ago
  • 0xb49b…67e9 SELL Yes $74.40 18h ago
  • 0x1a0e…31c0 SELL Yes $74.00 18h ago
  • 0x06e7…3568 SELL Yes $74.00 18h ago
  • 0xea61…ddcd SELL Yes $73.44 18h ago
  • 0xe678…5842 SELL Yes $73.44 18h ago
  • 0xa7e8…00b5 SELL Yes $73.60 18h ago
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa BUY No $2681.33 Jan 1
  • 0xafa2…e7c0 BUY No $28.24 Jan 1
  • 0x2763…5eed BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0xcfc4…6f2d BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0x2e69…200e SELL No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0xc171…aa19 BUY No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0x52ca…2453 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0xfaf5…75e5 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0x13ff…59dd BUY No $125.72 Dec 29
  • 0xc8b2…91c1 BUY No $87.32 Dec 29
  • 0xa5dd…a752 BUY No $104.19 Dec 29
  • 0xcff2…9e97 BUY No $86.67 Dec 29
  • 0x8a23…3179 BUY No $95.24 Dec 29
  • 0xf007…bb32 BUY No $88.56 Dec 29
  • 0xa77b…87f8 BUY No $83.30 Dec 29

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Comments

.merion Jun 17

you know where is drop?

Quilty Mar 11

Its over

deherminator Jan 29

Oh man I thought this market was for 2026. Didn't read well enough :/ All the other ones are for 26. Pffff

OtaBenga Jan 11

No chance