Sign Up
← Markets

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Putin Vol. $1,087,118 50 traders

March 310%
February 280%
April 300%
January 310%
Loading chart…
$1,087,118 Vol. putin

Outcomes

8
Chance
May 31 Resolved
0%
September 30
3%
December 31
4% ▼ 1
January 15 Resolved
0%
January 31 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
March 31 Resolved
0% ▲ 1
February 28 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $0.67 2h ago
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.17 2h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.38 2h ago
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $4.63 2h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.00 2h ago
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $26.62 2h ago
  • 0x7487…fc0c SELL No $940.22 Jul 23
  • 0xf1ba…c903 SELL No $4.87 Jul 23
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $29.22 Jul 23
  • 0xf1ba…c903 SELL No $28.95 Jul 23
  • 0x6a2c…64f0 SELL Yes $1.37 Jul 23
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $48.25 Jul 21
  • 0xa2db…a60d SELL No $48.33 Jul 21
  • 0x7c9e…db3d BUY Yes $5.43 Jul 21
  • 0xc87a…022e SELL No $10.56 Jul 17
  • 0xc71b…e265 SELL Yes $1.40 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.13 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.15 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.35 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.45 Jul 15
  • 0x4a3b…3149 SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 15
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $10.44 Jul 14
  • 0x7028…e0e9 SELL No $16.40 Jul 14
  • 0xf524…8178 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 12
  • 0x489a…fff2 SELL Yes $5.60 Jul 11
  • 0x7487…fc0c BUY No $157.31 Jul 9
  • 0x7487…fc0c BUY No $465.00 Jul 9
  • 0x9d73…216b BUY No $46.50 Jul 9
  • 0xbdaf…02d8 SELL Yes $3.04 Jul 8
  • 0x54c6…e5c2 SELL Yes $0.19 Jul 7
  • 0x54c6…e5c2 SELL Yes $1.41 Jul 5
  • 0x78cd…c82c BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 5
  • 0x54c6…e5c2 SELL Yes $0.48 Jul 5
  • 0x7028…e0e9 BUY No $16.15 Jul 2
  • 0xdf9b…296b SELL No $442.74 Jul 2
  • 0xe5d8…d3e5 SELL No $429.60 Jul 2
  • 0x7923…48e9 SELL No $412.71 Jul 2
  • 0x4a23…f956 SELL No $459.62 Jul 2
  • 0x22de…1e02 SELL Yes $55.80 Jul 2

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Prymorske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Stepnohirsk" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the entirety of Prymorske, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K7mS2YU7bZoVVHga9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Comments

AuthenticDemigod May 23

So yeah, pretty safe even if the Russian summer offensive will be stronger than expected.

0x4Dc71E7868955f9Eb88A153660872BD09235f360-1768384545487 Jan 28

f

0x4Dc71E7868955f9Eb88A153660872BD09235f360-1768384545487 Jan 28

i think its can

IamBatman- Jan 17

[link removed] finally realizeed that this city won't fall anytime soon and started selling his Yes. Classic

leCommissaire Jan 13

Get Azrarn a diaper as a gift. Today he really pissed his pants.

Azrarn Jan 13

Well yeah, it’s scary

leCommissaire Jan 13

Calm down. Controlling the entire city is unrealistic - at least until spring.

PronayReincarnate Jan 12

You can bet against reality, and you may win short term, but long term truht always prevails

molodoyy Jan 12

ISW map is not about truth

PronayReincarnate Jan 13

Put your money where your mouth is and bet on January 31-st then

HopeDisLasts Jan 16

lol you are too dumb to even get what the said