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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

France Vol. $13,456 50 traders

December 314%
July 312%
March 319%
$13,456 Vol. France

Outcomes

3
Chance
July 31
2% ▲ 1
December 31
4%
March 31
9% ▼ 6

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc08b…e35b BUY Yes $1.35 15h ago
  • 0xc08b…e35b BUY No $27.30 15h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL Yes $3.16 17h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.09 21h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.20 21h ago
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.09 21h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.20 21h ago
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.20 21h ago
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.20 21h ago
  • 0xcd3e…ae81 BUY Yes $5.00 21h ago
  • 0x763b…1fc1 BUY Yes $0.49 21h ago
  • 0x279d…9266 SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 23
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $11.30 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $25.79 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $1.63 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.04 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $0.70 Jul 21
  • 0x63e0…4ca5 SELL Yes $2.80 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.77 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $1.51 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.04 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL Yes $0.64 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.77 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $0.74 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0xf800…05af SELL Yes $0.32 Jul 21
  • 0x279d…9266 BUY Yes $1.01 Jul 20
  • 0x2e4a…ac2e BUY No $12.11 Jul 20
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.81 Jul 20
  • 0xfc03…4a07 SELL No $0.02 Jul 20
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $8.80 Jul 20
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $0.20 Jul 20
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.24 Jul 20
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.12 Jul 20
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $98.19 Jul 20
  • 0xf800…05af BUY Yes $0.34 Jul 18
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.75 Jul 17

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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