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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

China Vol. $1,428,994 50 traders

Yes2%
No98%
$1,428,994 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x2973…700d BUY No $200.00 3h ago
  • 0x4c6a…2436 BUY No $24.63 4h ago
  • 0x8c5c…c8f6 BUY No $96.45 7h ago
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY Yes $1.59 7h ago
  • 0x2d88…d5e8 BUY No $722.03 7h ago
  • 0x2441…a2f5 BUY No $64.88 8h ago
  • 0xb26b…3266 BUY No $50.00 8h ago
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY Yes $3.60 8h ago
  • 0x0e4f…3fd2 BUY No $5.15 9h ago
  • 0x678d…eccb BUY No $154.60 9h ago
  • 0x2ef8…fb47 BUY No $172.99 9h ago
  • 0xf1a2…f1b6 SELL No $98.10 11h ago
  • 0x8087…6b34 SELL No $0.99 12h ago
  • 0x01a4…1029 SELL No $0.99 12h ago
  • 0x929d…53ff SELL No $0.99 12h ago
  • 0xc88f…1c61 SELL No $0.99 12h ago
  • 0xdff7…4ad6 SELL No $0.99 12h ago
  • 0x6152…d8f3 SELL No $196.20 12h ago
  • 0x8087…6b34 BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0x01a4…1029 BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0xdff7…4ad6 BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0x929d…53ff BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0xc88f…1c61 BUY No $1.00 12h ago
  • 0x10c9…b420 SELL No $10.99 13h ago
  • 0x10c9…b420 SELL Yes $0.95 13h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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