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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

China Vol. $393,396 50 traders

Yes10%
No91%
$393,396 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xe85e…fd9f SELL No $4.50 56m ago
  • 0x02af…17ca SELL No $9.89 3h ago
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $69.00 3h ago
  • 0x475a…0364 BUY No $10.00 6h ago
  • 0x02af…17ca BUY No $10.00 7h ago
  • 0x02af…17ca SELL No $4.94 7h ago
  • 0x02af…17ca BUY No $5.00 7h ago
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $115.00 7h ago
  • 0x7bf0…d58e SELL No $5.05 13h ago
  • 0x4e84…ef69 SELL No $113.14 13h ago
  • 0xacbb…6cb4 BUY No $1200.00 15h ago
  • 0x7487…fc0c BUY No $546.00 Jul 23
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $150.00 Jul 23
  • 0x4605…f32b SELL No $267.00 Jul 23
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 23
  • 0xac2f…779d SELL No $305.17 Jul 23
  • 0xac2f…779d SELL No $2.16 Jul 23
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $24.00 Jul 22
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $30.00 Jul 22
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $273.00 Jul 22
  • 0x1b11…d469 BUY No $10.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8632…a7dc BUY No $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x30f8…b824 SELL No $293.47 Jul 22
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $110.00 Jul 22
  • 0x3de2…d073 SELL Yes $1.16 Jul 21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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