Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

China Vol. $2,187,364 50 traders

Recent trades

25

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0xa667…ceb3 SELL No $8.60 8m ago
• 0x8b72…3098 BUY Yes $10.00 18m ago
• 0x1b64…91e9 BUY Yes $24.00 5h ago
• 0xe533…5833 BUY Yes $30.00 8h ago
• 0xa801…7310 SELL Yes $4.39 11h ago
• 0x4e84…ef69 SELL Yes $0.98 13h ago
• 0x4e84…ef69 SELL Yes $1079.19 13h ago
• 0xacbb…6cb4 BUY No $1814.12 15h ago
• 0xdd1d…bbf0 SELL No $435.00 16h ago
• 0xd286…d55d BUY No $4.40 17h ago
• 0xbff5…655b BUY Yes $20.00 18h ago
• 0xb4ee…cc59 BUY No $1.00 19h ago
• 0xca1f…d282 BUY No $17.60 Jul 23
• 0xacbb…6cb4 BUY No $50.00 Jul 23
• 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $14.03 Jul 23
• 0xbff5…655b BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 23
• 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $30.00 Jul 23
• 0xf784…ab48 BUY Yes $171.20 Jul 23
• 0xc99e…3853 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 23
• 0xc99e…3853 BUY Yes $12.00 Jul 23
• 0x4e4a…50ba BUY Yes $99.60 Jul 22
• 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $14.00 Jul 22
• 0xfeb7…fd30 BUY No $10.12 Jul 22
• 0xf3ea…3039 SELL No $252.62 Jul 22
• 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 22

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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