Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics Vol. $38,984,602 779 traders

Recent trades

25

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 6m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 6m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 7m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 7m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 8m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 8m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 11m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 11m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 14m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 14m ago
• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 22m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 22m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 24m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 24m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 26m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 26m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 33m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 33m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 35m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 35m ago
• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 41m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 41m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 50m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 50m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 59m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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