Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics Vol. $38,984,602 779 traders

Recent trades

25

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 5m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 5m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 6m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 6m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 7m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 7m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 10m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 10m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 13m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 13m ago
• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 21m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 21m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 23m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 24m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 25m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 25m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 32m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 32m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 34m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 34m ago
• 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 40m ago
• 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 40m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 49m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 49m ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 58m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

Write a comment

Post

0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

Latest surveys not reflected here

0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

Latest surveys not reflected here.