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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Tech Vol. $113,201 50 traders

151068%
152012%
153011%
15507%
$113,201 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

5
Chance
1510
69% ▲ 31
1520
12% ▼ 1
1530
11% ▲ 1
1540
11% ▲ 2
1550
7%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $30.25 1h ago
  • 0x1e75…63f1 SELL Yes $0.62 2h ago
  • 0x166f…dcfe SELL No $17.00 2h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL Yes $15.78 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL No $83.39 4h ago
  • 0x3b69…01d7 SELL No $44.50 4h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $10.80 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL Yes $15.47 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL Yes $7.48 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL No $38.94 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL No $82.18 4h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL No $21.00 4h ago
  • 0x97ea…3363 BUY Yes $980.68 4h ago
  • 0x3373…3716 BUY Yes $4.81 4h ago
  • 0x97ea…3363 BUY Yes $107.37 4h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $227.75 4h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $30.00 4h ago
  • 0x4879…bfec SELL Yes $101.07 4h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.72 4h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $30.00 4h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $18.30 4h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL No $34.77 4h ago
  • 0xb141…aa3b SELL No $183.00 4h ago
  • 0x166f…dcfe SELL No $30.50 4h ago
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL No $979.09 4h ago
  • 0x3839…e2ee SELL Yes $555.00 5h ago
  • 0xee01…04d3 SELL Yes $1.85 5h ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e SELL Yes $14.23 7h ago
  • 0xe8fc…0d3b SELL No $31.00 7h ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e BUY Yes $15.00 10h ago
  • 0x93a9…0b88 SELL Yes $166.50 10h ago
  • 0x3908…d10e SELL No $5.47 16h ago
  • 0xaf05…33e2 BUY No $4.55 20h ago
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL No $369.49 Jul 23
  • 0x8594…7eed SELL No $60.57 Jul 23
  • 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $31.00 Jul 22
  • 0x9b08…4632 BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 22
  • 0xd687…bbb3 SELL No $8.27 Jul 22
  • 0x3860…7877 SELL No $2.12 Jul 21
  • 0x3860…7877 SELL No $14.99 Jul 21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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