Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

this market is way easier than people think lol

Yolft

חברים אל תהיו טמבלים 50 אחוז לגדי? אין מספיק שמלאנים בכלל לעזור לו להגיע מעל 7 מנדטים וזה לא יקרה שוב השחיתות שתקום ממשלה של 9 מנדטים ברמאות… עד שביבי ימות/יפרוש הוא תמיד יבחר אלא ואחריו יבחרו בן גביר או פייגלין העולם ישרף לפני שתקום ממשלת שמאל כי שמאל יגרום ליהודים לעבור שואה נוספת ויגיד את זה כיום חג.

הכול תלוי אם גדי יילך עם הערבים. למרות זאת, המחיר לא שווה. אני קניתי גדי "לא". לאט לאט הוא יתחיל לרדת. הוא כבר פותח את הפה ומאבד תמיכה. לדעתי, זאת מערכת הבחירות האחרונה של ביבי. אסור לתת לשמאל לעלות ולהרוס את המדינה

השמאל לעולם לא הוא יבחר הוא מיעוט של חבורת דבילים שמצביעים להיטלר לערבים מצביעים ליודרנאטים לדמוקרטים ועוד כמה לבנט ולפיד וזהו אין להם רוב וגם לא יהיה הפעם היחידה שעלתה ממשלת בנט לפיד זה עם 9 מנדטים בשחיתות ובצורה לא חוקית

חבל שמישהו ייקח את התגובה שלך ברצינות ועוד ישקול לקנות ביבי

אמר הבחור שקנה יאיר לפיד גדי ואביגדור 3 טמבלים שבחיים לא יהיה להם אפילו 19/20 מנדטים ביחד חבל שמישהו יקח ברצינות את הקניות שלך ויקנה כמוך הכל טוב תהנה עם בהפסדה או ביבי או בן גביר או פייגלין יבחרו אם לא ביבי ואם לא הם אני אבחר לפני החבורת סנילים עם טיטולים שקנית שיבחרו.

The market is mispricing this. Many Polymarket traders aren't even Israeli voters, so this isn't a reliable reflection of public opinion. Netanyahu's bloc also benefits from stronger long-term demographic trends, while many media polls have repeatedly underestimated him in past elections. The one pollster with a consistently better track record has been Shlomo Filber's NEXT DATA. I expect Netanyahu to win.

A lot of manipulation on this market.

Shlomo Filber? That Shlomo Filber under indictment in Netanyahus corruption trial? That Shlomo Filber? who essentially said he just juices the numbers for Bibi to account for the "shy bibi voter"? yeah bro thanks for the donation

מי שחושב שגדי אייזנקוט לא ינצח פשוט לא מבין כלום מהחיים שלו

יש 2 דברים בטוחים בחיים. השם יתברך וגם המוות. לגבי המוות, אני לא בטוח.

שכחת לציין מיסים

יש דת אחת בישראל שמתחמקת מזה

חבל שמישהו ייקח את התגובה שלך ברצינות ועוד ישקול לקנות ביבי..

Bibi habibi

Bye Bye bibi

שבת שלום לעם ישראל וכול אוהביה. אמן

FAirPoly says that: The No side benefits from all non-Eizenkot scenarios: Netanyahu or another figure forming the first post-election government, prolonged coalition deadlock, or no qualifying PM by end-2027 (resolving to Other). While Eizenkot is the leading single name, multi-outcome markets put his share near 40–41%, implying roughly 60% combined for all others, and Israel’s fragmented party system plus his relative political inexperience leave ample paths where he cannot assemble a majority. With the binary currently at about 49% for No, a modestly higher fair probability around 53% is justified; tight spreads and deep liquidity make it easy to express, but the advantage is only a few points, so this is better suited to incremental, market-making‑style positioning than a large, one-way bet.

My personal opinion is that the left is busy inflating the Eisenkot bubble as their little pre-election advertising campaign—just so Channel 12 can later report on how popular he has suddenly become. 😁

Yep

How can I contact you my friend

Exactly

Hey buddy, not sure if possible to send PMs here

Commanding lead for Eisenkot now

חודש טוב לעם ישראל

תודה אח יקר

Netanyahu is the best prime minister!!! He did more than all the other losers. They can't do anything. They are a pig (or cat ) in a poke—nobodies.😁

bro buy more shares then c'mon

Seems like you dont believe this yourself

NetanAIu is no more, they elegant way to now admit that is to let him lose in the election, new PM gonna be Ben-Gvir or Bennett

A VERY interesting and in depth read of inside Eisenkot campaign from Haaretz called "Inside Likud Territory, Eisenkot Is Quietly Gaining Ground. Will It Be Enough to Defeat Netanyahu?" Easy to google archive and read. Thought it would be relevant really goes into detail about campaign strategy for the upcoming elections.

One interesting snippet: "Twenty to 30 percent of Likud voters are undecided about whether they'll vote at all," the professor says. "Eisenkot makes it harder for Netanyahu to mobilize them because he [Eisenkot] doesn't provoke anger. For obvious reasons, he can't be portrayed as the great Satan or as an enemy. Eisenkot is the most lovable figure in Israeli politics right now. That creates a situation where people who aren't prepared to switch sides can still tell themselves: 'Eisenkot isn't so bad, so maybe I'll just stay home instead of voting.'"

Why aren't you buying?

not everybodys gambling addicts like you man

Man people giving advice and insights left and right like they experts.. I mean do whatever you want, just saying

שבת שלום מבורכת ושקטה לכל עם ישראל אוהביה.

Not even Saddam Hussein sons changed name, Bibis truly the worst

Was he your idol?

billy idols my idol

Nah you're more of a Saddam Hussein type of guy

Maybe Billy Mansfield Jr. Again you racist. Go touch goats.

Yair Netanyahu, the son of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has legally changed his name and is now registered with the Israeli authorities under the name "Yonatan Han," according to Haaretz.

Netanyahu way overpriced tbh even if one of the satellite parties pass the threshold he's still at 54 seats at most.

There’s no “other” option why do the rules say If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

I was also confused about this for a while, but from what I gathered It just means that everything will resolve to NO

37-40 cents on Netanyahu - the best deal ever. in the Worst case - head to head with Gadi, and he's still at the head of the big party. Will easily go up to 50 cent ! And long before the elections

Honestly, sell while it's still profitable. he's not going to be the next PM.

Don't trust people, who write here. Search it for yourself.

Congrats for positive pnl bro

I put everything I have on bibi and Likud to be the largest party. I hope it will be, not for my money, only for our beloved country. If the left party will be the parliament, Israel is done.

על מה אתה מדבר ביבי מכר אותנו לקטארים

אם כבר טראמפ. אבל לא משנה. העיקר שיהיה טוב למדינה

Thank you very much, friend. Highly appreciated. How can I contact you in private?

A U.S. official told Axios: Many of Trump's closest advisers think that Bibi was wrong about everything.

Even though

Half of the comments on this site are fake news bots

Only trustworthy source is Truth Social

amir ohana

Netanyahu holds a narrow edge over Naftali Bennett to become Israel’s next prime minister after the upcoming national vote.