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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Oil Vol. $124,622 50 traders

No Return to Normal Traffic…49%
July0%
December18%
August9%
$124,622 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

7
Chance
July
<1%
August
9% ▼ 2
September
9% ▼ 1
October
8% ▲ 1
November
9% ▲ 1
December
18% ▲ 3
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
49% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa242…cd4b BUY No $1.00 37m ago
  • 0xd823…12fe SELL Yes $0.30 8h ago
  • 0x6208…ae34 SELL Yes $0.04 9h ago
  • 0x45a2…3c01 SELL Yes $1.00 11h ago
  • 0x17a2…630b BUY Yes $0.90 13h ago
  • 0x17a2…630b BUY Yes $1.01 13h ago
  • 0x17a2…630b BUY Yes $2.00 13h ago
  • 0x17a2…630b BUY Yes $9.52 13h ago
  • 0xfc1f…a246 BUY No $125.00 14h ago
  • 0x6139…6b7a SELL Yes $2.18 21h ago
  • 0x78c5…f623 SELL Yes $2.92 23h ago
  • 0x7c00…0372 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 23
  • 0x2c2b…e55d BUY No $793.40 Jul 23
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $6.74 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $9.10 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $9.00 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.11 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.28 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.43 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $9.94 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.14 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $9.50 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $68.21 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $17.56 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $75.33 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $68.97 Jul 23
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $89.54 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $67.75 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $11.73 Jul 23
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $97.81 Jul 23
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $89.46 Jul 23
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.70 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $19.88 Jul 23
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $32.60 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $18.37 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $16.82 Jul 23
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $62.02 Jul 23
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $18.00 Jul 23
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $45.50 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Comments

Moly-Parket365 Jul 9

Which month UMA market scamming stop's??