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Which company has the best AI model end of September?

AI Vol. $14,790 50 traders

Anthropic86%
Google7%
OpenAI6%
Xiaomi0%
$14,790 Vol. AI

Outcomes

32
Chance
Anthropic
86% ▲ 3
Meta
1%
Google
7% ▼ 1
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
2% ▼ 3
OpenAI
6% ▲ 1
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $1.90 14h ago
  • 0x48c4…19e5 BUY Yes $10.00 14h ago
  • 0x12c4…d1eb BUY Yes $144.30 19h ago
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $0.95 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $49.20 Jul 24
  • 0x2da0…f014 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 24
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $41.00 Jul 24
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $56.40 Jul 24
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $10.20 Jul 24
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $12.75 Jul 24
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $59.75 Jul 24
  • 0x7dcf…a7bd BUY No $74.63 Jul 24
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $18.38 Jul 24
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $17.36 Jul 24
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $3.14 Jul 24
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $70.50 Jul 24
  • 0x6668…9b4d SELL No $3.84 Jul 23
  • 0xcdf8…b8ea BUY No $1225.82 Jul 23
  • 0xae46…caf5 BUY No $2.30 Jul 23
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL No $2.60 Jul 23
  • 0x52ce…1da9 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 23
  • 0xed7f…582b BUY No $10.00 Jul 23
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $4.50 Jul 22
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $29.88 Jul 22
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $27.93 Jul 22
  • 0x2eb8…b4ba BUY Yes $99.95 Jul 22
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $6.77 Jul 22
  • 0x2687…0e77 BUY Yes $5.50 Jul 22
  • 0x6b96…e9aa BUY Yes $80.00 Jul 22
  • 0x22b6…56cb BUY No $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x2ebc…b140 BUY Yes $159.96 Jul 22
  • 0x2ebc…b140 BUY Yes $215.91 Jul 22
  • 0x9c90…17ef SELL Yes $19.98 Jul 22
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $1.47 Jul 22
  • 0x6060…a915 BUY Yes $8.84 Jul 22
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $1.57 Jul 22
  • 0xd16b…36c0 BUY Yes $89.00 Jul 21
  • 0x165d…121c BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $4.18 Jul 21
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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