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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech Vol. $390,885 50 traders

Anthropic63%
ByteDance0%
Moonshot2%
OpenAI9%
$390,885 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
11%
Anthropic
63% ▼ 2
OpenAI
9%
Alibaba
<1% ▼ 1
Z.ai
<1% ▼ 1
xAI
3% ▼ 1
DeepSeek
2%
Moonshot
2% ▼ 1
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
3% ▼ 1
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $19.58 58m ago
  • 0xae7f…31c9 BUY Yes $100.00 1h ago
  • 0x2e68…6898 SELL No $88.15 3h ago
  • 0xd0bf…9f9f SELL Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xbed5…0483 SELL Yes $4.79 4h ago
  • 0x271e…f001 SELL Yes $31.62 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $46.29 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $3.20 4h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $32.18 4h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $63.50 4h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $0.12 4h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $0.13 4h ago
  • 0xb141…aa3b SELL Yes $190.51 4h ago
  • 0x4af9…3144 SELL Yes $32.50 4h ago
  • 0x1dd2…42ef SELL Yes $32.50 4h ago
  • 0xb31a…8817 SELL Yes $32.50 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $610.72 4h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $23.31 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $4.86 4h ago
  • 0x677c…6023 BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xf333…ba41 SELL No $7.50 7h ago
  • 0xeaa9…1737 SELL No $7.50 7h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $17.34 7h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $34.00 7h ago
  • 0x2663…a70e SELL No $7.16 7h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $204.00 7h ago
  • 0x2663…a70e SELL No $17.50 7h ago
  • 0xdb3c…833e BUY Yes $737.38 7h ago
  • 0xa255…2ffc BUY Yes $11.00 13h ago
  • 0x9d67…5369 BUY Yes $2.00 14h ago
  • 0x7ee4…73b8 BUY Yes $2.00 14h ago
  • 0x352f…9f67 BUY Yes $2.00 14h ago
  • 0x2910…ea40 BUY Yes $2.00 14h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 BUY Yes $22.00 15h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $3.20 19h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $5.70 21h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $2.00 21h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $8.30 Jul 23
  • 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 23
  • 0x876b…1703 SELL Yes $84.23 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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