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What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Fed Vol. $51,468 50 traders

Good day77%
Inflation 40+ times33%
Good Afternoon14%
Projection41%
$51,468 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

33
Chance
Inflation 40+ times
33% ▼ 8
Inflation 20+ times
65% ▼ 19
Task Force 20+ times
38% ▼ 9
Good day
77% ▼ 1
Groupthink / Group think
24% ▼ 3
Independence
35% ▼ 9
Echo of History
54% ▼ 2
North Star
50% ▼ 1
Predecessor
21%
Bet / Betting
50% ▼ 3
Trump
11%
Balance Sheet
85%
Central Bank
82%
Productivity
78%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
74% ▲ 1
Shock
51% ▼ 4
Oil
72% ▼ 2
Uncertainty
54% ▼ 1
Restrictive
65%
Projection
41% ▼ 6
President
44% ▲ 1
Dollar
28% ▲ 1
Anchor / Anchored
33% ▲ 1
Recession
17% ▼ 1
Consumer Confidence
10%
Iran
20% ▲ 3
Tax
17% ▼ 33
Crypto / Cryptocurrency
14% ▼ 1
Dissent
13%
Pandemic
18% ▼ 3
Renovation
7%
Good Afternoon
14%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xb5ab…7f47 BUY No $1.38 11m ago
  • 0x7f50…949e BUY No $1.38 12m ago
  • 0x1e70…da92 BUY Yes $2.00 13m ago
  • 0xe70d…4782 BUY No $1.38 13m ago
  • 0x601f…4321 BUY No $1.38 15m ago
  • 0xf88b…c487 BUY Yes $2.00 16m ago
  • 0x95f5…e6ac BUY No $1.38 16m ago
  • 0x10eb…0402 BUY Yes $5.01 16m ago
  • 0xeab8…022a BUY No $1.38 17m ago
  • 0x65f5…c341 BUY Yes $2.31 17m ago
  • 0xf15a…82d2 BUY Yes $2.00 18m ago
  • 0x69c1…7dc8 BUY No $1.38 18m ago
  • 0x8a0b…f811 BUY Yes $2.00 19m ago
  • 0x5518…2042 BUY No $4.83 19m ago
  • 0x87a6…0135 BUY Yes $2.31 19m ago
  • 0x3375…33b8 BUY Yes $2.00 20m ago
  • 0xe88b…5634 BUY No $1.38 20m ago
  • 0x08dc…6c39 BUY Yes $2.00 20m ago
  • 0x0234…d17e BUY No $1.38 21m ago
  • 0x07bd…7036 BUY No $1.38 21m ago
  • 0xef17…d811 BUY No $1.38 21m ago
  • 0xb5f0…6af2 BUY No $1.38 22m ago
  • 0xa0c3…9321 BUY Yes $2.31 23m ago
  • 0x9c82…87f9 BUY No $1.38 24m ago
  • 0x7c98…8280 BUY Yes $2.00 26m ago
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL Yes $101.24 8h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 BUY No $2.48 8h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 SELL No $54.59 9h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 BUY No $16.12 9h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $50.00 10h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 BUY No $1.38 10h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 BUY No $46.48 11h ago
  • 0x75ac…33d7 SELL Yes $81.00 11h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.83 13h ago
  • 0x5e79…1779 SELL No $12.20 19h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $8.09 19h ago
  • 0x5675…f6a6 SELL Yes $11.30 19h ago
  • 0x6b25…7a69 BUY No $3.23 19h ago
  • 0x5675…f6a6 SELL Yes $9.79 19h ago
  • 0x6b25…7a69 BUY No $4.21 19h ago

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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