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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell Vol. $1,683,632 50 traders

↓ 2.75%2%
↓ 3.0%3%
↓ 2.5%4%
↑ 5.25%3%
$1,683,632 Vol. Jerome Powell

Outcomes

21
Chance
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 5.5%
3%
↑ 5.25%
3%
↑ 4.5%
16% ▲ 1
↑ 4.75%
5%
↑ 4.25%
41%
↓ 2.0%
3%
↓ 1.0%
1%
↓ 1.25%
3%
↓ 1.5%
<1%
↓ 1.75%
1% ▼ 1
↓ 0.75%
3%
↓ 0.5%
2%
↓ 0.25%
3% ▼ 1
↓ 0%
2%
↓ 2.25%
5%
↓ 2.5%
4%
↓ 2.75%
2%
↓ 3.0%
3%
↓ 3.25%
13% ▲ 5
↓ 3.5% Resolved
100%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd62b…ceec SELL No $24.60 1m ago
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $7.66 1m ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $41.21 2m ago
  • 0xfb11…7901 SELL No $47.89 2h ago
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $29.70 12h ago
  • 0x7484…9126 SELL No $0.98 18h ago
  • 0x918f…2e84 SELL No $0.88 18h ago
  • 0xb3a1…7346 BUY Yes $1.00 20h ago
  • 0x45f2…722e BUY No $12.00 21h ago
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $8.47 22h ago
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $24.96 22h ago
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $194.94 22h ago
  • 0x21ff…5e2a BUY No $20.01 Jul 23
  • 0x978e…80bc BUY Yes $122.41 Jul 23
  • 0x8e42…a043 SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 23
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $41.95 Jul 23
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $41.04 Jul 23
  • 0x06dc…32b7 BUY No $37.29 Jul 23
  • 0xedee…67e6 BUY No $12.78 Jul 23
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $16.42 Jul 23
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $16.42 Jul 23
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $394.30 Jul 23
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $28.32 Jul 23
  • 0xb87f…f7d4 SELL Yes $1.28 Jul 23
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $525.89 Jul 23
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $4.52 Jul 23
  • 0xe215…1c22 BUY Yes $1.48 Jul 23
  • 0x377d…dddd SELL Yes $2.29 Jul 22
  • 0xa9a5…2756 SELL Yes $12.73 Jul 22
  • 0xa9a5…2756 BUY Yes $13.47 Jul 22
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $37.55 Jul 22
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $37.55 Jul 22
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $15.02 Jul 22
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $15.02 Jul 22
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $37.60 Jul 22
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $15.27 Jul 22
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $134.89 Jul 22
  • 0xc537…88a2 SELL Yes $0.18 Jul 21
  • 0x36ef…3c3a SELL No $1.09 Jul 20
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $1.71 Jul 18

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Comments

Jeffrey-Einstein Jul 13

why is there no 4%

whumpa Jul 9

create for 2028

.nexaro Jun 17

you know where is drop?

whumpa Mar 22

I'm cooked

SatoshiBladerunner Dec 21

Watching a massive 500k sell-wall get chipped away. The buyers here have serious capital.

chgltk Dec 15

What the hell is over here 10% of free money?

Aldrach Dec 8

It'll be a slow walk down from where we are now. They want to hit the sweet spot, not crash anything. Expect a lot of little 0.25% cuts over the next two years.