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US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Politics Vol. $165,175 50 traders

Yes88%
No12%
$165,175 Vol. Politics
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
88% ▼ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xeec5…b6fe BUY Yes $345.00 5h ago
  • 0xaced…7e29 SELL No $2.00 6h ago
  • 0xe6ef…418d BUY No $10.00 9h ago
  • 0xbbe3…5b92 BUY No $10.00 11h ago
  • 0x191e…ef6b SELL Yes $39.55 13h ago
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY No $4.20 Jul 23
  • 0x51de…9e4a BUY No $40.00 Jul 23
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY No $8.40 Jul 23
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $17.90 Jul 23
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $0.51 Jul 23
  • 0x140a…8e8a SELL No $47.43 Jul 23
  • 0x140a…8e8a SELL No $49.47 Jul 23
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $48.96 Jul 23
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $47.94 Jul 23
  • 0x084f…cba3 BUY Yes $422.06 Jul 23
  • 0xc676…2ba4 BUY Yes $435.53 Jul 23
  • 0x9b58…37ac BUY Yes $431.03 Jul 23
  • 0x94ab…cf48 BUY Yes $422.06 Jul 23
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $5.13 Jul 23
  • 0x51de…9e4a SELL No $77.75 Jul 23
  • 0xeec5…b6fe BUY Yes $20.80 Jul 23
  • 0xe6ef…418d BUY No $27.32 Jul 22
  • 0x734c…1d86 BUY No $6.04 Jul 22
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $43.40 Jul 22
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $43.40 Jul 22

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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