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US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Economy Vol. $18,846 50 traders

≥3.5%6%
1.5–2.0%32%
<1.0%4%
2.0–2.5%28%
$18,846 Vol. Economy

Outcomes

7
Chance
<1.0%
4% ▼ 1
1.0–1.5%
11% ▼ 2
1.5–2.0%
32% ▲ 3
2.0–2.5%
28%
2.5–3.0%
19% ▲ 2
3.0–3.5%
11% ▼ 6
≥3.5%
6% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0be4…b548 SELL Yes $1.89 6h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 SELL Yes $1.09 6h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $2.54 12h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 SELL Yes $0.47 15h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 SELL Yes $0.94 15h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 SELL Yes $1.00 15h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $1.84 18h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $3.75 18h ago
  • 0x9dfb…42f6 BUY No $9.49 22h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $1.08 23h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.25 23h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 BUY No $43.56 Jul 24
  • 0xadb5…e421 BUY No $32.85 Jul 24
  • 0xadb5…e421 BUY No $33.75 Jul 24
  • 0xadb5…e421 BUY No $37.35 Jul 24
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $1.65 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $1.70 Jul 23
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.35 Jul 23
  • 0x2f26…0d8f SELL No $4.06 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.30 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.40 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.40 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $37.80 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $7.40 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $1.85 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.10 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $1.05 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $1.01 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.86 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.91 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.88 Jul 23
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.79 Jul 23
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $4.43 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.10 Jul 23
  • 0x3107…3ff2 BUY No $3.60 Jul 23
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $14.80 Jul 23
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $12.20 Jul 23
  • 0x29af…f88d BUY No $5.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8728…0882 SELL Yes $0.21 Jul 22
  • 0x8728…0882 SELL Yes $1.17 Jul 22

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.

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