US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
Outcomes
6Recent trades
40- 0x993c…6787 BUY No $493.07 8m ago
- 0xc109…450b BUY Yes $1.10 13m ago
- 0x9b22…3a92 BUY Yes $1.09 13m ago
- 0x9238…b73e BUY Yes $5.50 13m ago
- 0xa86a…ac07 BUY No $5.14 17m ago
- 0xd11c…0d06 BUY No $3.17 30m ago
- 0x5c5b…1a6d BUY No $11.52 30m ago
- 0x22d6…3939 BUY No $3.00 31m ago
- 0x177e…5c16 BUY No $5.00 31m ago
- 0xafa7…6e67 BUY No $3.28 31m ago
- 0xef0d…7e94 BUY No $5.01 31m ago
- 0xdc70…cc56 BUY No $24.19 31m ago
- 0xd44e…67e2 BUY No $224.00 31m ago
- 0xfbda…fdbb BUY No $50.00 50m ago
- 0xe85e…fd9f SELL No $7.92 57m ago
- 0xe85e…fd9f SELL No $3.90 57m ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $65.00 1h ago
- 0x3c44…2fff BUY No $1.22 1h ago
- 0xbd04…fbb0 BUY No $190.13 1h ago
- 0xf114…8003 SELL Yes $11.00 1h ago
- 0xe763…007d SELL No $83.22 1h ago
- 0xf114…8003 SELL Yes $11.00 1h ago
- 0x56ec…5f73 SELL Yes $13.63 1h ago
- 0x993c…6787 BUY No $489.52 1h ago
- 0x7ea7…078b BUY Yes $15.00 1h ago
- 0x3a23…0f72 BUY Yes $105.00 1h ago
- 0xa6b7…d5f3 BUY Yes $132.00 1h ago
- 0xa6b7…d5f3 BUY No $97.80 1h ago
- 0x30db…33c0 BUY Yes $14.75 1h ago
- 0x7f6d…f6f6 SELL Yes $1.05 1h ago
- 0x160e…617d SELL Yes $2.06 1h ago
- 0x60a9…5a71 SELL Yes $190.00 1h ago
- 0x87d1…3da3 SELL Yes $1.87 1h ago
- 0x449c…879e BUY Yes $148.11 2h ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL No $6.57 2h ago
- 0xf66f…d714 SELL No $24.00 2h ago
- 0x1245…e0af BUY No $478.17 2h ago
- 0x993c…6787 BUY No $974.56 2h ago
- 0x43e2…5fbd BUY Yes $82.00 2h ago
- 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY No $10.00 3h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.
Comments
August 15 is a bond, it's not about whether the operations end so much as Trump says they will (they won't)
Everyone's focused on whether it happens. I'm watching how it would be announced 😝
Iranian media report explosions on Qeshm Island Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency reports two explosions near the village of Mosan on Qeshm Island, located in the Strait of Hormuz. Tasnim attributes the explosions to US missile strikes
The US State Department has issued an advisory urging US citizens in the Middle East to be prepared for emergency travel situations due to potential flight cancellations and disruptions to air travel amid the war on Iran. Escalation incoming.
Trump says Iran not ready for deal, signals further US attacks President Donald Trump said Thursday that the Islamic Republic was “not ready” to reach an agreement and “needs more of the same,” as he reiterated that Tehran would never be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon.
US Senate blocks resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers The US Senate on Thursday voted 49-47 against advancing a Democratic-led resolution that would have required congressional authorization for President Donald Trump to continue hostilities against Iran.
Right now they are attacking Iran and they will continue
We’re in a permanent peace deal