Sign Up
← Markets

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

World Vol. $171,065 50 traders

Yes6%
No94%
$171,065 Vol. World
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
7% ▲ 3

Recent trades

25
  • 0xaed4…7f61 SELL Yes $29.70 28m ago
  • 0xc924…63b9 BUY No $60.00 4h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $395.69 4h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $91.00 4h ago
  • 0x93ed…7e69 BUY Yes $1.46 4h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $46.00 4h ago
  • 0x9e59…a4ba BUY Yes $6.24 4h ago
  • 0xa0bc…d428 BUY Yes $375.95 4h ago
  • 0xb12d…26d1 SELL No $463.14 7h ago
  • 0x22a2…5a68 BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0x5c22…e4db BUY Yes $50.00 10h ago
  • 0xd570…f156 BUY No $1.00 22h ago
  • 0xde4d…d85b BUY No $50.00 Jul 23
  • 0xa3f6…1326 BUY No $100.00 Jul 23
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $712.78 Jul 23
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $237.50 Jul 23
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $95.00 Jul 23
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $156.75 Jul 23
  • 0xcdae…b512 BUY No $1.35 Jul 22
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $23.75 Jul 22
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $9.50 Jul 22
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $95.00 Jul 22
  • 0x994b…5077 SELL No $95.00 Jul 22
  • 0xa01e…bc09 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8981…25fa BUY No $11.00 Jul 21

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments