Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Recent trades
24- 0x52e1…6ee9 BUY No $222.00 1h ago
- 0x97d3…3f3c BUY No $37.96 1h ago
- 0x0b1c…cc8a SELL Yes $9.45 2h ago
- 0x5da5…e620 BUY Yes $169.00 2h ago
- 0x2721…cf8a SELL Yes $1.88 2h ago
- 0x2108…d3dd SELL No $49.32 2h ago
- 0x5da5…e620 BUY Yes $264.00 2h ago
- 0x3c0e…b14a SELL Yes $0.92 2h ago
- 0x2108…d3dd SELL No $39.49 2h ago
- 0xad52…11ac BUY Yes $225.00 2h ago
- 0x94bb…c320 BUY Yes $60.00 4h ago
- 0xe762…064b BUY Yes $87.50 4h ago
- 0xc109…450b BUY Yes $8.33 4h ago
- 0xc109…450b BUY Yes $8.33 4h ago
- 0x1516…3f5a BUY Yes $6.16 4h ago
- 0x9b22…3a92 BUY Yes $24.64 4h ago
- 0x9238…b73e BUY Yes $123.85 4h ago
- 0x2108…d3dd SELL No $49.34 4h ago
- 0x9e59…a4ba BUY Yes $6.24 4h ago
- 0xa0bc…d428 BUY Yes $163.20 4h ago
- 0x9fe7…95c3 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
- 0x2a35…a3f8 BUY No $10.00 6h ago
- 0x2a35…a3f8 BUY No $5.00 6h ago
- 0x2108…d3dd SELL No $49.34 7h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments