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Chance
UK election called by...?
March 310%
December 310%
June 30, 20260%
June 300%
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Outcomes
6March 31 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
December 31, 2026
18%
▲ 1
June 30, 2027
32%
▲ 2
June 30, 2026 Resolved
0%
Recent trades
40- 0xc8ab…6418 SELL Yes $0.52 Jan 1
- 0xda3d…f39d SELL No $2.00 Dec 31
- 0xda3d…f39d BUY No $2.00 Dec 31
- 0x98ac…b3e0 BUY No $25.00 Dec 31
- 0x98ac…b3e0 BUY No $25.00 Dec 31
- 0xe1ae…b095 BUY No $21.00 Dec 31
- 0x19d2…4060 BUY No $30.00 Dec 31
- 0x19d2…4060 BUY No $30.00 Dec 31
- 0x8d46…f5bd BUY No $6.00 Dec 31
- 0x8d46…f5bd BUY No $5.99 Dec 31
- 0xdde2…d7a0 BUY No $8.00 Dec 31
- 0xf75b…ed74 SELL Yes $0.95 Dec 31
- 0xf75b…ed74 BUY Yes $1.89 Dec 31
- 0x6a13…4593 BUY No $10.99 Dec 31
- 0xdbbd…f2e8 SELL No $5.62 Dec 30
- 0x2336…9e65 BUY No $2.00 Dec 30
- 0x0cba…b0be BUY No $2.00 Dec 30
- 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $50.26 Dec 30
- 0x9285…c19d SELL Yes $0.79 Dec 29
- 0x0873…09e8 SELL Yes $0.27 Dec 29
- 0x27dd…ff52 SELL Yes $0.50 Dec 28
- 0x27dd…ff52 BUY Yes $1.00 Dec 28
- 0x9285…c19d SELL Yes $0.01 Dec 27
- 0x9285…c19d SELL Yes $0.15 Dec 27
- 0x3f3b…1d77 SELL No $357.92 Dec 25
- 0xd81f…6b75 BUY No $2542.45 Jul 1
- 0x1970…398d BUY No $67.00 Jul 1
- 0x23cc…4f5a BUY No $1.00 Jun 26
- 0xd535…fa67 SELL No $1133.09 Jun 22
- 0x68ef…3d5c BUY No $20.00 Jun 14
- 0xc803…1ef4 SELL No $2.07 Jun 5
- 0xcb9d…338f BUY No $99.70 Jun 3
- 0xfad4…a210 SELL Yes $0.60 Jun 3
- 0xd535…fa67 BUY No $49.75 Jun 1
- 0x8731…1181 SELL No $95.02 May 31
- 0x9177…0491 SELL No $9.95 May 31
- 0xa58d…b9b8 SELL Yes $2.10 May 31
- 0xf7ca…5c1d BUY Yes $1.00 May 27
- 0xe1b8…5d80 SELL Yes $0.80 May 25
- 0x2314…84f5 SELL Yes $0.78 May 23
This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.
Comments
you know where is drop?
Can we have market for 31 December?
If Andy burnham doesn’t win the bi election, this market will go up
Keir Starmer will resign by May 2026 (Local Elections), as other PMs have resigned due to poor local election results. However, a general election would NOT be held if he resigned, any Labour MP who takes over will see a boost in the polls - since they're not Starmer
A party never voluntarily gives up power in the UK until they're forced to - which would make it 2029.
-$86.79
They are authoritarian. They will never leave.
You're talking about Reform right?
220k signed a petition calling for an immediate GE.
[link removed].uk/news/petition-to-call-an-immediate-general-election-passes-100000-signatures-500062 THis one
Yeah because petitions amount to much. You’ve got to know the electoral system. They only get debated and then rejected the same day unless there’s a majority approval. Why would Labour who has the majority want to call an election and then Labour MPs lose their jobs ? Bit of rationality and knowledge required here.
UK democracy is a flaw democracy. I don’t think anyone is able to overthrow the ruling party given that they (the labor party) are the majority in the parliament
They can continue to rule for the next 5 years regardless of anything that happens to the UK
literally the same in any westminister system i dont see what the “flaw” is
Flaw is that it’s not proportionate representation like the Dutch politics. Westminster model is long out dated and favour the 2 traditional parties. However, they won’t be so keen themselves on changing it 🤣
That assumes Starmers backbenchers dont fall out of line. If they see the writing on the wall, or an opportunity to save their seats away from Starmer's labour, they could paralyse government, eventually forcing a new GE.