Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent trades
25- 0xcaed…70ec BUY Yes $2.00 44m ago
- 0xb04a…acfc SELL Yes $18.09 50m ago
- 0x882b…a746 BUY Yes $2.20 1h ago
- 0x7709…ee57 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x882b…a746 BUY Yes $2.20 2h ago
- 0xa6d1…0638 BUY Yes $5.00 7h ago
- 0x7f7e…45d6 BUY Yes $16.00 8h ago
- 0x191e…ef6b SELL Yes $12.39 8h ago
- 0x5ab9…8f9d BUY Yes $100.00 9h ago
- 0x272c…7f07 SELL Yes $210.00 10h ago
- 0x6a83…4c59 BUY Yes $455.62 11h ago
- 0xd5f0…932c BUY No $1.00 12h ago
- 0xa6a7…c507 BUY Yes $44.00 12h ago
- 0x71da…75a7 SELL Yes $1.76 13h ago
- 0x32d1…b949 SELL Yes $67.52 14h ago
- 0xe809…039b SELL No $156.00 19h ago
- 0xe809…039b SELL No $156.00 19h ago
- 0xe3d1…d312 BUY Yes $201.96 19h ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $1185.00 20h ago
- 0x2c6f…deee BUY No $143.78 20h ago
- 0x8697…190d BUY No $158.00 22h ago
- 0xb404…3c93 BUY Yes $50.00 22h ago
- 0x3458…b5a7 BUY No $100.00 Jul 23
- 0x993c…6787 SELL Yes $210.00 Jul 23
- 0xd909…20d6 BUY No $1633.25 Jul 23
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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