Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent trades
25- 0x0b46…625f SELL No $4.80 1m ago
- 0x9807…6569 SELL No $0.33 1m ago
- 0x6365…eba8 SELL No $0.03 1m ago
- 0x9297…358b SELL No $0.00 1m ago
- 0xf9d8…65ad BUY No $12.74 1m ago
- 0xaa06…1e0f SELL No $0.40 2m ago
- 0x9807…6569 SELL No $4.00 2m ago
- 0xd501…1814 SELL No $0.12 2m ago
- 0x561d…5128 SELL No $0.08 2m ago
- 0x28b8…5e00 SELL No $5.05 2m ago
- 0x6365…eba8 SELL No $0.40 2m ago
- 0x9297…358b SELL No $0.10 2m ago
- 0xf9d8…65ad BUY No $184.24 2m ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 SELL Yes $25.81 10m ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $3.73 1h ago
- 0xcf27…f35f BUY No $12.00 1h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY Yes $5.20 1h ago
- 0x449c…879e BUY Yes $2080.00 1h ago
- 0xf9d8…65ad BUY No $549.78 1h ago
- 0x04c4…2946 BUY Yes $5.00 2h ago
- 0xcb7c…d18e SELL Yes $51.90 2h ago
- 0xfc75…8c97 SELL No $0.98 2h ago
- 0x7d0b…87e2 BUY No $1.05 2h ago
- 0xc9dc…8624 SELL No $49.84 2h ago
- 0xf9d8…65ad BUY No $233.24 3h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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