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Russia nuclear test by...?

Politics Vol. $6,143,174 122 traders

June 30, 20260%
March 31, 20260%
September 30, 20263%
November 300%
$6,143,174 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

6
Chance
November 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
March 31, 2026 Resolved
0%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
0%
September 30, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
10% ▲ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0547…fb35 BUY No $68.99 2h ago
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $2.37 5h ago
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $37.39 15h ago
  • 0x194c…1315 BUY Yes $25.82 17h ago
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $204.40 18h ago
  • 0x805b…ae7d BUY Yes $20.87 18h ago
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $1.82 19h ago
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $193.31 19h ago
  • 0x8a00…e2c4 SELL No $403.40 19h ago
  • 0xcf00…353f BUY Yes $20.38 19h ago
  • 0x805b…ae7d SELL Yes $0.72 19h ago
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $426.41 19h ago
  • 0x8a07…f329 SELL No $414.45 19h ago
  • 0x46a5…bd6b BUY No $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0x5533…51ba BUY Yes $2.44 Jul 23
  • 0xe489…f577 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 23
  • 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $56.52 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $1.73 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $54.99 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $34.85 Jul 23
  • 0x0da8…54af BUY No $20.02 Jul 23
  • 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $38.48 Jul 23
  • 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $45.72 Jul 23
  • 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $46.74 Jul 23
  • 0x6573…7571 SELL Yes $42.18 Jul 23
  • 0x6573…7571 SELL Yes $52.82 Jul 23
  • 0xbfb7…2714 SELL Yes $95.00 Jul 23
  • 0xf7cf…54c0 SELL Yes $95.00 Jul 23
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $969.19 Jul 23
  • 0x0907…9c94 SELL Yes $6.56 Jul 22
  • 0x836f…906e BUY No $96.40 Jul 22
  • 0xe489…f577 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 19
  • 0x07e1…27af BUY No $200.00 Jul 18
  • 0x07e1…27af BUY No $600.00 Jul 18
  • 0xdf27…e6e4 SELL No $98.80 Jul 18
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $48.20 Jul 18
  • 0xdf27…e6e4 SELL No $72.40 Jul 18
  • 0x23d4…1d88 SELL Yes $26.46 Jul 16
  • 0x6073…0a3c SELL Yes $26.46 Jul 16
  • 0x79ab…3f89 SELL Yes $26.93 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

huyu Feb 10

response to perceived U.S.

adonpoli Nov 11

i am just selling my nov 30 if

adonpoli Nov 11

any yes holder want to sell his worthless share

0xcoincocck Nov 7

OFC they will! The most incredible thing about Russian nuclear missiles is that there’s dude inside, steering it toward the target with pedals and a steering wheel

huyu Feb 10

good

Sheriden Nov 6

Russia's Defense Minister has emphasized the need to prepare for full-scale nuclear tests in response to perceived U.S.

PoppyDove Nov 6

Russia's covert nuclear test in the Arctic by early 2026 is rattling NATO's deterrence strategies as satellite anomalies spark urgent verification protocols.