Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Recent trades
25- 0x3c0e…b14a SELL Yes $7.00 2h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $46.00 6h ago
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.10 6h ago
- 0xf032…8e71 BUY Yes $50.00 6h ago
- 0x9a66…9bc0 BUY Yes $1.05 Jul 23
- 0x3a91…a770 BUY Yes $2.10 Jul 22
- 0xfabf…ffab BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 21
- 0x4a7b…75cf BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 20
- 0xb861…da79 SELL Yes $0.68 Jul 19
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $4.65 Jul 19
- 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $2.78 Jul 18
- 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY No $4.70 Jul 18
- 0x5d2b…cb8c BUY No $2211.24 Jul 18
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.10 Jul 18
- 0xee2b…bf76 SELL No $29.99 Jul 18
- 0xa309…e19c BUY No $100.00 Jul 17
- 0xc96a…702c BUY No $180.00 Jul 17
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.10 Jul 16
- 0x3677…c090 SELL No $5.52 Jul 16
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.10 Jul 15
- 0xc15f…3722 BUY Yes $1.60 Jul 15
- 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 15
- 0x5c3d…c0ca BUY No $8.39 Jul 14
- 0x3032…8477 SELL Yes $0.35 Jul 13
- 0xcc83…215c SELL Yes $7.50 Jul 13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
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Tick tock. Crimea is going to be starving and have no gas. There will be a uprising starting there.
As likely as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.