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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

AI Vol. $28,987 50 traders

<30%
30%
437%
5+61%
$28,987 Vol. AI

Outcomes

4
Chance
<3
<1%
3
<1%
4
37% ▲ 18
5+
61% ▼ 25

Recent trades

40
  • 0x1de2…7273 SELL No $50.03 2h ago
  • 0xc4a9…cba6 BUY No $1.00 10h ago
  • 0x0cb1…a76c BUY No $102.65 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd SELL No $14.00 22h ago
  • 0x9517…0ee3 BUY No $3.50 22h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $17.50 22h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $5.26 22h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $37.50 22h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $75.30 23h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $41.46 23h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 24
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $12.75 Jul 24
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $56.94 Jul 24
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $48.45 Jul 24
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $21.25 Jul 24
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $112.89 Jul 24
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $92.66 Jul 24
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.99 Jul 24
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $8.40 Jul 24
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $29.97 Jul 24
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $25.20 Jul 24
  • 0x0a06…921a BUY Yes $1.60 Jul 24
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $8.41 Jul 24
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $10.46 Jul 24
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.97 Jul 24
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $29.97 Jul 24
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $8.50 Jul 24
  • 0xc3d7…c714 BUY Yes $4.50 Jul 24
  • 0x941b…e827 SELL No $42.40 Jul 24
  • 0x277f…dfc8 BUY Yes $1.09 Jul 24
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $13.99 Jul 24
  • 0x3ecc…52d2 BUY Yes $2.02 Jul 24
  • 0x9e8e…8db8 BUY Yes $91.21 Jul 24
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $0.04 Jul 22
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 22
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.10 Jul 22
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $2.20 Jul 22
  • 0x3d05…acde SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 22
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 Jul 22
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.25 Jul 22

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET). Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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