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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Awards Vol. $22,893,737 457 traders

Donald Trump4%
UNRWA8%
Greta Thunberg1%
Xi Jinping1%
$22,893,737 Vol. Awards

Outcomes

71
Chance
Donald Trump
4%
Pope Leo XIV
5%
Yulia Navalnaya
11%
Julian Assange
2%
Greta Thunberg
1%
Elon Musk
<1%
UNRWA
8%
International Court of Justice
2%
António Guterres
1%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%
Vladimir Putin
<1%
Khaled Mashal
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
<1%
Xi Jinping
<1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
<1%
Charlie Kirk
<1%
Mohammed bin Salman
<1%
Narendra Modi
2%
Person A
0%
Person B
0%
Person C
0%
Person D
0%
Person E
0%
Person F
0%
Person G
0%
Person H
0%
Person I
0%
Person J
0%
Person K
0%
Person L
0%
Person M
0%
Person N
0%
Person O
0%
Person P
0%
Person Q
0%
Person R
0%
Person S
0%
Person T
0%
Person U
0%
Person V
0%
Person W
0%
Person X
0%
Person Y
0%
Person Z
0%
Person AA
0%
Person AB
0%
Person AC
0%
Person AD
0%
Person AE
0%
Person AF
0%
Person AG
0%
Person AH
0%
Person AI
0%
Person AJ
0%
Person AK
0%
Person AL
0%
Person AM
0%
Person AN
0%
Person AO
0%
Person AP
0%
Person AQ
0%
Person AR
0%
Person AS
0%
Person AT
0%
Person AU
0%
Person AV
0%
Person AW
0%
Person AX
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

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  • 0x0951…36e9 SELL No $8.44 19m ago
  • 0x6f2a…9551 BUY No $1.13 25m ago
  • 0xe84b…7284 SELL No $4.71 35m ago
  • 0x78fb…b5da SELL Yes $0.91 40m ago
  • 0xc8ba…39bf SELL No $6.77 45m ago
  • 0x0f16…0a10 SELL No $3.05 48m ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.02 58m ago
  • 0x081d…c5da SELL No $5.04 59m ago
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  • 0x87c9…0d5e SELL No $5.71 1h ago
  • 0x72e0…0b96 SELL No $0.19 1h ago
  • 0xf5d8…5062 BUY No $6.66 1h ago
  • 0xf1d4…b4d3 SELL No $3.02 1h ago
  • 0x31cb…f464 SELL No $6.93 1h ago
  • 0x2482…fd45 BUY No $5.00 2h ago
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  • 0x72e0…0b96 SELL No $0.48 2h ago
  • 0x8712…3edf SELL No $1.54 2h ago
  • 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.04 2h ago
  • 0xbc5f…1a8a SELL No $3.81 2h ago
  • 0x1245…e0af BUY No $479.71 3h ago
  • 0x0dde…94c3 BUY No $1044.31 3h ago
  • 0x3d95…de90 SELL No $4.69 3h ago
  • 0x72e0…0b96 SELL No $1.49 3h ago
  • 0x54ac…f11f SELL No $3.00 3h ago
  • 0x5b48…5046 SELL No $1.55 3h ago
  • 0x72e0…0b96 BUY No $2.17 3h ago
  • 0x2841…02e1 BUY No $3.88 3h ago
  • 0xfc27…d459 SELL No $7.95 4h ago
  • 0xf3a6…f55c SELL No $2.97 4h ago
  • 0xe466…ce09 SELL No $1.89 4h ago
  • 0xc4f3…3c84 BUY No $6.23 4h ago
  • 0x2ba0…8c68 SELL No $7.52 4h ago
  • 0x2f08…ea8e BUY No $4.78 4h ago
  • 0x29d3…b2f2 SELL No $8.36 4h ago
  • 0x7a07…08b5 BUY No $1.96 4h ago
  • 0x8fd5…17cb BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xe68c…602d BUY No $4.79 4h ago
  • 0x7d9e…7203 SELL No $7.79 4h ago

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Comments

8908DFG Jul 23

Charlie Kirk

vc789bjn Jul 23

hould add the

567GHJ8 Jul 23

ts a shame

890BHJ3 Jul 16

nuo beri er

cvbn09 Jul 3

xijinping

ZnotluvuiSamez Jul 2

🦩🦩🦩

yihib9 Jun 28

go d

Chococremeux Jun 25

its a shame that F. Albanese is being snubbed over trump, bibi or xi

.NSR Jun 24

C’mon Charlie Kirk , what is wrong with PolyM ?

.tyrionx Jun 17

you know where is drop?

Hodetovervann Jun 13

They should add the primeminister of Pakistan as a bet.

Orca1 Jun 4

Why is Zelenskyy so high? What has he done for peace? He is doing a very good job at defending his country but this isn't the best defender prize, it's a peace prize.

BrumelCompanyLTD Jun 3

Greta, God bless you

WageringGrandma Jun 11

You are tripping.

BrumelCompanyLTD Jun 3

comeee on

NoSteinNoGate May 31

Do people give Trump a chance because he ended the war in Iran 30 times?

dacron May 31

lmao

Djik May 27

"If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner." Why??? "... the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market." What? If several winners, it should be several Yes. What is this scam?

Djik May 27

"If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner."the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

Djik May 27

Haha, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump!

DFK May 24

Maybe Trump will be the one to finally bring peace in the Middle East

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 May 18

Trump has no cards :)

bosshog May 16

satoshiAncap walked so anoin could run

taerv534 May 15

anoin jesus christ man just hang it up

GollumGekko May 15

come on gunnar slam the book

Hodetovervann May 8

Antonio Guterres term is over this year. Perhaps a peace prize is a good parting gift from his role...

Kentastrof1 May 2

2026 award is for what you have done during the year 2025...

porbee Apr 29

Add Benjamin Netanyahu

porbee Apr 29

And AIPAC

Cremerica Apr 23

I'd like to see Reza Pahlavi on the list. If by some miracle, the Iranian people can successfully overthrow the IRGC and install some form of democracy, Then Pahlavi would be an excellent candidate (IMO).

Kentastrof1 May 2

The 2026 award is given for what you have done during the year 2025.

iutwpfal May 10

Lmao

Kenbu Apr 19

Pakistan's Sharif? Add plz

loadedprophet Apr 16

Pope Leo under valued

Chococremeux Apr 16

That list is not serious. On one side, the warlords : trump, bibi, al-shara, bin salman, modi, putin... On the other side, you have some murican content creator like musk and kirk or the autistic greta... Instead, should add Sharif (PAK) Albanese (UN), Sheinbaum (Mex for cuba), Sanchez...

whoever9509 Apr 10

LOL 8% for Trump

CompromisedGuy Apr 14

I was thinking the same lol, he shouldn't be added here like, whoever thinks he deserves it, must be because it would be a nice trade like, yo get this and stop the war you little narcissist kid hahahah

CompromisedGuy Apr 14

He only deserves it if he agrees to stop the war in exchange lol

Goandsee Apr 9

International Red Cross should be added

Goandsee Apr 9

ICRC

alexwinten Apr 7

Marwan Barghouti could be added

MrKangaroo Apr 2

Trump sits at 7% on Polymarket versus 2-to-1 in European sportsbooks - i am gay. the betting markets are also gay. The Norwegian Nobel Committee, gay too. chatgpt nonsense.. which is exactly why the 7% is defensible. But if any concrete peace deal materializes, we are all gay; in Ukraine or the Middle East before October.

ShadowOrb Apr 3

yes you are

DaMonkeyHope Apr 14

In which european sportbooks do you see 2 to 1 for Trump? I dont believe it if I don't see😅

ISnortGlue Mar 30

why is charlie kirk even an option

0x11EE4D6ecf41ea719050dbB128D88970331A2AaA-1772629156022 Mar 30

I want to know why is not Pedro Sanchez (Spanish PM) listed here

Car Mar 26

getting rid of the Iranian Regime and preventing them from getting a nuclear weapon is lowkey bullish for Nobel Peace Prize

tmcm Mar 29

The ethnosupremacist terrorist regime with nukes is not Iran

DFK Apr 3

Car probably agrees with you. He is only doing is job as a scam artist.

alexwinten Mar 24

The International Criminal Court and even Nicolas Guillou could be a proposition.

alexwinten Mar 18

Dead peole can't have Nobel Prices. Why is there even a bet ?