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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Politics Vol. $74,160 50 traders

Jordan Bardella6%
Marine Le Pen88%
François Ruffin2%
François Hollande11%
$74,160 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

37
Chance
Marine Le Pen
88% ▼ 2
Jordan Bardella
6%
Éric Zemmour
4%
Édouard Philippe
42%
David Lisnard
3%
Xavier Bertrand
1%
Laurent Wauquiez
5%
François Ruffin
2%
Gabriel Attal
12%
Bruno Retailleau
3%
François Hollande
11%
Raphaël Glucksmann
6% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
41% ▲ 1
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Fabien Roussel
2%
Olivier Faure
3%
Dominique de Villepin
4% ▼ 1
Ségolène Royal
1%
François Asselineau
2%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
2%
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
<1%
François Bayrou
3%
Élisabeth Borne
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
2%
Jean Castex
<1%
Gérald Darmanin
1%
Carole Delga
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
5%
Manuel Bompard
2%
Mathilde Panot
4%
Other
33% ▲ 1
Sarah Knafo
2%
Juan Branco
1%
Clémence Guetté
<1%
Sébastien Lecornu
5%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x5a0d…c6be SELL No $6.00 3h ago
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL No $48.55 22h ago
  • 0xe1a9…339e BUY No $0.55 Jul 23
  • 0xd8ba…2a38 BUY No $118.00 Jul 23
  • 0xf7ec…e53a SELL No $2.40 Jul 22
  • 0x3de8…2447 BUY Yes $900.00 Jul 22
  • 0xfea9…7a25 SELL No $2.35 Jul 22
  • 0x8494…814a SELL Yes $1.25 Jul 22
  • 0xaf68…e9a7 BUY No $16.00 Jul 21
  • 0x6491…74b2 BUY Yes $40.00 Jul 21
  • 0x4cb5…b536 BUY Yes $576.24 Jul 20
  • 0x279d…9266 BUY No $1.01 Jul 20
  • 0x2aac…dfad BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 20
  • 0x2d92…a213 SELL Yes $0.98 Jul 20
  • 0xbd2c…31f4 SELL Yes $13.83 Jul 20
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $5.08 Jul 20
  • 0x2d92…a213 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0xae58…e5c5 BUY No $4.90 Jul 20
  • 0x1241…d325 BUY No $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0x9cdd…df3e BUY No $4.01 Jul 20
  • 0x0e19…3f79 BUY No $1.09 Jul 20
  • 0x2251…25a0 SELL No $116.45 Jul 20
  • 0xdec3…9f41 BUY Yes $410.02 Jul 20
  • 0xdec3…9f41 BUY Yes $41.00 Jul 20
  • 0xdec3…9f41 BUY Yes $82.00 Jul 20
  • 0xe8ea…3f1e SELL No $99.63 Jul 18
  • 0x8f7d…07c2 SELL No $18.08 Jul 17
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $2.50 Jul 17
  • 0x150c…1c8d BUY Yes $1.06 Jul 17
  • 0xcceb…f030 SELL No $22.80 Jul 16
  • 0xafe2…b686 SELL No $10.15 Jul 16
  • 0x2251…25a0 SELL No $1.63 Jul 16
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $1.23 Jul 16
  • 0x0275…b936 SELL Yes $0.76 Jul 15
  • 0xd9e7…7197 BUY Yes $50.00 Jul 15
  • 0x7400…18f7 SELL No $6.62 Jul 14
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee BUY No $1.99 Jul 14
  • 0x4cb5…b536 BUY Yes $32.00 Jul 14
  • 0x3ea7…7fc0 SELL Yes $1.70 Jul 14
  • 0x279d…9266 BUY No $1.24 Jul 14

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Comments

Poivre Jun 2

ça arrive très tôt dis donc

DontTrustMe Jun 2

The guy behind this list of candidates must have a serious crush on Clémence Guetté. 🤨

SwitchMario2019 Jun 2

🤣

SwitchMario2019 Jun 2

Very interesting market! 👀