Next French Presidential Election
Outcomes
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Comments
having the betmoar extensions show live news feed pop up on the UI here makes it a lot more itneresting
jadot??
i like to see so many candidates on this race. good luck them
boris vallaud
Matthieu Pigasse
tough
Add Matthieu Pigasse please
Add Lagarde
Lecornu higher in polls than Philippe and Attal
what polls you saw that?
French people please do not vote for Marine Le Pen because she will heavily restrict unskilled immigration. I am from Morocco and I need to immigrate to France with my 2 wives and 8 children. Please think about your African brothers before casting your vote.
😂😂😂
@nicoco89 how do you win sm
Stop making me want to vote for her even more
🤔
add boris vallaud
comment rajouter un nouveau candidat, en la personne de boris vallaud ?
Add Christine Lagarde
Perps code: 00aaoaac
where's kylian mbappé?
I'm recruiting 1 French politics expert for my little elections group chat, hit me up
"recruiting" So what is the salary?
access to alpha in other election markets. we have a local in every major election market.
i hate when whales don't let us fill our orders at 3c
Melrnchon 13pc? He will never become president. He would lose in any runoff, but he won't even make it to the runoff—because one of the centrists, Attal or Philippe, will withdraw so that the other is guaranteed a spot in the runoff.
Let the LFItards be in denial and think they actually have a chance, they should bet more. Melenchon NO is the easiest bet ever
C'est beau de voir Bardella pricé plus haut que Retailleau ou Attal alors qu'il est officiellement même plus candidat
Good value on Lecornu
The racist far right will never be in power in France, NEVER.
I wouldn't be so confident about it. The french are really being pushed to the edge by all the pro-immigration policies.
Voting for Mmmmbappee
What happened to the Villepin guy?
M6-RTL poll 09/08/2026, first round: MARINE LE PEN 34%, Edouard PHILIPPE 20%, MELENCHON 16%, GLUCKSMANN 11%, Bruno RETALLEAU 8%, Eric ZEMMOUR 4%, Marine TONDELIER 3%.
LE FIGARO poll 08/07/2026, second round: MARINE LE PEN 54% VS Edouard PHILIPPE 46%. MARINE LE PEN 55% VS GABRIEL ATTAL. MARINE LE PEN 70% VS MELENCHON 30%
Well imo not very convincing. Another poll shows 49–51, but the election campaign hasn't even started yet, and 34% say they would cast an invalid vote in a runoff between Philippe and Le Pen. That is bound to change drastically.
Oui enfin l'américain tu devrais t'abstenir pour ce coup, il s'agit d'une estimation où comme a son habitude n'est pas représentatif du vote réel. Il suffit de regarder le sondage avec les scores réels des législatifs anticipée de 2024.
It will be harder for edouard Philippe to make it to the runoff than to actually win it. I have no doubt that he would defeat Le Pen in a runoff. He likely would have lost against Bardella.. since Bardella would have attracted votes from some center-right voters as well.. Le Pen on the other hand enters the race facing significantly more reservations.
hhhh
Faites pas comme les américains, garder vos actions sur Jordan Bardella, après la cassation jamais elle fera campagne en bracelet électronique et Jordan Bardella prendra sa place. Jordan Bardella vas monté en flèche tandis que Le Pen vas chuter.
La peine de Détention à Domicile sous Surveillance Électronique (DDSE - le bracelet) restreint la liberté d'aller et venir, mais ne supprime ni le droit de vote ni le droit d'être élu. Légalement, Marine Le Pen pourrait tout à fait recueillir ses 500 parrainages et voir sa candidature validée par le Conseil constitutionnel tout en portant ce dispositif.
Je ne dis pas le contraire, elle a aura sans aucun doute les 500 parrainages avec sa candidature validée. Le problème c'est que (elle le sait très bien) elle ne remportera jamais la présidentielle 2027 (2nd Tour quasi sur cependant). Continuer sa candidature avec un bracelet c'est se tirer une balle dans le pied de son propre parti entre polémique et que certain paraissant ne votre pas pour un candidat sous bracelet électronique, elle enverra Jordan Bardella a sa place où il a su conquis les électeurs du RN, et ayant pas de grosse polémique ni de soucis avec la justice. D'où aussi pourquoi Edouard Phillipe a monté en flèche car sa laisse un boulevard devant lui si Marine est la candidate officielle du RN.
Who cares Bardella will never be president except in your wet disgusting fascists dreams only. Cope.
Tu me racontes quoi toi. Commence a mettre des paris et reviens me parler après.
We all found out nicoco is a fraud today, ahahahahha
It was hard to predict what happened. Le Pen was sentenced to ineligibility in her first trial, and her appeal could easily have gone the same way. In France, most judges have close ties to the far-left. In fact, this might even be a political calculation by the judiciary. They realized that Bardella was even more popular than Le Pen, and they might believe that the RN has less chance of winning with Marine as its candidate. Just speculation here, but it wouldn't surprise me.
Just speculation saying the paranoiac buffoon. Close ties with the far left 🤣😂, since when? You're mentally ill defo.
Ptdrrr tki ? 🤣🤣🤣🤣
It’s all over for Bardella – at best, he’ll be Prime Minister, not President
Prime Minister of his own ass yes, nothing else.
WTF
Jordan Bardella will not be standing as a candidate in the presidential election – it’s official
Le Pen will appeal again, and when this one is rejected she will be barred from running, and then Bardella will be running instead.
Whatever, in both cases they are dead. French hate the thieves.
her party deserve to die with this election if they dont get another candidate
Rightfully, this sh1tty party is a real disgrace and people supporting this sh1t are the trash of humanity.
How could such a bad decision be made.. Bardella had significantly better poll numbers. A gift to the moderates and the Left.
poll numbers were very close he did do better in a potential wnd round against philippe as he attracted more moderates so that could hurt them as she now will campaign with a brace
Who cares? Rigged polls and we all know by who, French don't want the fascists thieves in power, they are not as stupid as the Americans.
He attracted the void yes.
this is absurd, no way that she just did this to her party