Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
Outcomes
6Recent trades
40- 0xe1a9…339e BUY No $1.20 35m ago
- 0x05ac…6d71 BUY Yes $237.50 49m ago
- 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $10.30 1h ago
- 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $9.66 1h ago
- 0xc54a…5a08 SELL No $4.60 2h ago
- 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $0.35 2h ago
- 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $1.00 3h ago
- 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $5.06 3h ago
- 0x272c…7f07 BUY Yes $10.72 3h ago
- 0x272c…7f07 BUY Yes $192.28 3h ago
- 0x272c…7f07 BUY Yes $29.85 3h ago
- 0x272c…7f07 BUY Yes $16.74 3h ago
- 0x9bab…e6a2 BUY Yes $2.00 3h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.79 3h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $8.87 3h ago
- 0x2142…6b8c BUY Yes $1.56 3h ago
- 0xcd2c…a30e BUY Yes $70.40 4h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $1.05 4h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $19.90 4h ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $12.16 4h ago
- 0x094b…3d4d SELL Yes $17.40 4h ago
- 0x652b…f5c2 BUY Yes $4.42 4h ago
- 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $9.00 4h ago
- 0xb141…aa3b SELL No $16.15 4h ago
- 0xb141…aa3b SELL No $19.05 4h ago
- 0xf864…7fb5 SELL No $6.30 4h ago
- 0x97ea…3363 BUY Yes $804.45 4h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
- 0x2663…a70e SELL No $22.52 4h ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $7.20 4h ago
- 0x97ea…3363 BUY Yes $1327.08 4h ago
- 0x184b…67b2 BUY Yes $1.01 4h ago
- 0xf114…6ecc BUY Yes $7.83 4h ago
- 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $2.00 4h ago
- 0x9efe…6357 BUY Yes $1.77 4h ago
- 0x9aeb…2729 BUY Yes $78.76 4h ago
- 0x9efe…6357 BUY Yes $2.90 4h ago
- 0x9aeb…2729 BUY Yes $92.86 4h ago
- 0x3ea9…1a0a BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
- 0x3ea9…1a0a BUY Yes $2.00 5h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-Opus-4.9, claude-Opus-5.0-thinking, claude-Opus-5.1-preview, or similar). Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, or another non-Opus variant will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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