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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Geopolitics Vol. $12,136,659 242 traders

June 300%
May 310%
July 311%
April 300%
$12,136,659 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

6
Chance
April 22 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
May 31 Resolved
0%
July 31
<1% ▼ 1
December 31 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x290d…dc40 BUY No $475.20 5h ago
  • 0xc805…3ede SELL Yes $2.50 7h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 BUY Yes $3.29 9h ago
  • 0xdf59…deb0 SELL No $397.54 10h ago
  • 0xb48b…04eb SELL No $440.73 10h ago
  • 0xf19d…fc14 BUY No $1.33 11h ago
  • 0x45e1…5934 BUY No $4.97 12h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 BUY Yes $1.59 12h ago
  • 0x05d4…92f5 BUY No $299.18 12h ago
  • 0x15d2…d1d1 SELL No $7.91 14h ago
  • 0xa340…6582 BUY No $1.69 15h ago
  • 0xf938…57b8 SELL No $80.00 19h ago
  • 0x061e…5ab8 BUY No $100.00 19h ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $8.00 19h ago
  • 0xa057…f288 SELL No $0.34 19h ago
  • 0xc3db…0f98 BUY No $2223.93 19h ago
  • 0x0333…7d70 BUY No $2.00 21h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $1.05 23h ago
  • 0xa3af…b7a6 SELL No $6.87 Jul 23
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $12.06 Jul 23
  • 0xa057…f288 SELL No $0.52 Jul 23
  • 0x6d9f…9790 SELL No $2960.35 Jul 23
  • 0x49b0…7fe6 BUY No $20.00 Jul 23
  • 0x0ae0…2423 SELL No $307.42 Jul 23
  • 0x93a4…1d8a BUY No $7.23 Jul 23
  • 0x515e…8309 SELL No $0.91 Jul 1
  • 0xfaf9…f4c4 BUY No $8007.86 Jul 1
  • 0x9416…5a15 BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 1
  • 0x21b4…1f06 BUY No $999.00 Jul 1
  • 0xeab7…b389 SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 1
  • 0x3329…43a6 SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 1
  • 0x8dcf…5668 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 1
  • 0x66c1…2c72 SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 1
  • 0x6958…cc0f SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 1
  • 0x4f82…9725 SELL No $5.47 Jul 1
  • 0x7d58…cfcc BUY Yes $5.82 Jul 1
  • 0x7d58…cfcc BUY Yes $4.50 Jul 1
  • 0x9a5d…4261 SELL No $398.80 Jul 1
  • 0x43ca…d04c SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 1
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $2.00 Jun 30

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comments

SIMOMEGA Jul 19

add more months

RATHMA4 Jul 8

DONT WORRY, SCOTTNO WILL PROPOSE YES SOON

SIMOMEGA Jul 9

who?

kjh098 Jul 3

Deep ideological hostility and recent direct military clashes make a permanent Israel-Iran peace accord extremely unlikely anytime soon.

Tanjiro.Kamado Jul 1

Dispute plox

DjangoCr3 Jul 1

why whales don't sell?

SIMOMEGA Jul 1

they want every last cent i assume lol

DjangoCr3 Jul 1

well, in a few hours their positions will be at 0

SIMOMEGA Jul 3

didnt look like it

andtay Jun 30

This market was already closed on 15th of june, and all the consecutive days where yes. so it doesn't make sense

SIMOMEGA Jun 30

the sense is whales controlling UMA

BlindAndDeaf Jul 1

USA-Iran was closed not ISRAEL-Iran

SIMOMEGA Jul 14

not that 1 was closed properly either

sonnguyen95 Jun 28

where is Polymarket INTERN rig this shit to YES now

DUNKLICIOUS Jun 28

Garbage site. Why bet when whales decide what they want to win.

Spirit-LT Jun 26

US, ISRAEL, LEBANON SIGN TRILATERAL FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT

0x39D3C7740AFFe4e953F66700159116394D497c7C-1771250347473 Jun 27

Here's a hint for you - they signed it with the Lebanese government, not with Hezbollah

SIMOMEGA Jun 27

this isnt israel x hezbollah market

aaaaaag Jun 27

lol

SIMOMEGA Jun 28

whats so funny

CoachK Jun 25

Next scam for UMA quale, not invest in that shit

SIMOMEGA Jun 25

too late for me to sell, might as well stay until the end

Relaccsed Jun 25

:(

0x5d8D9F751F3b0d7b748fA52aC5a4F48100A61436-1772458889797 Jun 22

I thought the permanent peace deal had already happened... Yes had won, is this another peace deal, or are you just moking the people who's money you stole

LUD0MAN1AC Jun 21

Strait only opens if Israel agrees to withdraw from Lebanon… if there is a peace deal it’s happening before the end of June, if not back to war 😓

Umali Jun 20

Israel halting military action in lebanon

BlindAndDeaf Jun 20

What part of Iran is Lebanon? (Also nothing stopped in Lebanon)

Relaccsed Jun 20

are we cooked.. :(

Camal Jun 20

Go peace

OdarGM Jun 20

Truly cooked

sonnguyen95 Jun 28

yes

iamyri Jun 19

i am so tired of this circus

Spirit-LT Jun 19

ISRAELI MILITARY SPOKESMAN SAYS WHEN ASKED WHETHER ISRAEL WILL STRIKE IN BEIRUT: WE RESPECT AGREEMENTS, ACT ACCORDING TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM ISRAEL'S LEADERS

Spirit-LT Jun 19

Respect agreements 👀

BlindAndDeaf Jun 20

Is Lebanon the same country as Iran?

SIMOMEGA Jun 29

what does that even mean

0x99728E5A77AD13Fd4A210cf8EB9c84E37739A4e8-1779419006224 Jun 19

They have entered a ceasefire

iForgor Jun 19

the switz meeting being held up is an advantage here

BlindAndDeaf Jun 20

Is there an Israeli team there?

iForgor Jun 20

i wish

iForgor Jun 20

iForgor

vlovesmusic Jun 19

don't bet on this, polymarket is going to screw us again

Stillhereok2 Jun 19

polyscam, anybody who buys N here will have their airdrop allocation removed

DistortedReality Jun 19

+1

0x5d8D9F751F3b0d7b748fA52aC5a4F48100A61436-1772458889797 Jun 18

ah another permanent peace deal, how many PERMANENT peace deals can one sign ? Hahahha joke of a company, you will go down and UMA as well I will personally make sure of it. If you want to bring these scammers down reply here

0xCAa2DD076864564c392E1eBD01d6b7F150a215EA-1775507441257 Jun 19

bruh who are you talking about

ChaosLake Jun 19

O yeah jun 16th.

SIMOMEGA Jun 26

hes talking about UMA whales, duh

mindeirs Jun 18

The rules say inclusion in a qualifying multi-party peace deal qualifies; they do not require Israel to be happy about it. And in US x Iran Polymarket just resolved that such a multi-party deal has been agreed. But hey, this is a casino.

Pilagi Jun 18

Stop trolling. "Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria."

mindeirs Jun 18

The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.

Pilagi Jun 18

Yes, but "Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established." and Israel has not yet commented officially on the agreement, futhermore Israel specifically said Trump's agreement does not bind us Sell your shares before you lose any more money.

stormapex Jun 18

just follow whale,

iForgor Jun 18

To 0

SIMOMEGA Jun 26

whales are on no side....

Relaccsed Jun 18

Can you feel the peace yet

DistortedReality Jun 18

Yes, its Peaceful

tetrose Jun 18

No Peace, Only War.

RichiRich7 Jun 18

Proposed itt please

RichiRich7 Jun 18

They have signed the agreement