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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran Vol. $4,873,279 97 traders

July 2587%
July 22100%
July 3164%
July 2499%
$4,873,279 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

14
Chance
July 18 Resolved
100%
July 20 Resolved
100%
July 22
>99%
July 25
87% ▲ 19
July 31
64% ▲ 9
August 15
46% ▲ 10
August 31
36% ▲ 9
July 23
>99% ▲ 1
July 24
99% ▲ 12
July 26
80% ▲ 20
July 27
75%
July 28
73%
July 29
72%
July 30
67%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xfed5…3f49 BUY Yes $100.00 4s ago
  • 0xfed5…3f49 BUY Yes $100.00 5s ago
  • 0xd2b8…aa6f BUY No $125.00 3m ago
  • 0x72f0…dc58 BUY Yes $24.36 4m ago
  • 0x145b…5f8f BUY Yes $270.00 5m ago
  • 0x2b9c…8927 BUY Yes $5.12 6m ago
  • 0x9e66…a1c0 BUY No $3.67 7m ago
  • 0x2b9c…8927 SELL No $5.04 7m ago
  • 0xfb20…3b5c BUY Yes $870.00 7m ago
  • 0x67c0…58ad BUY Yes $2.00 7m ago
  • 0xa55d…5a92 BUY No $25.00 8m ago
  • 0x5ccf…79d7 BUY Yes $218.17 12m ago
  • 0x5ccf…79d7 BUY Yes $90.00 12m ago
  • 0xc9dc…8624 SELL Yes $56.58 15m ago
  • 0x7018…6057 BUY No $50.00 15m ago
  • 0xfb20…3b5c BUY Yes $8.70 17m ago
  • 0xcf06…4799 BUY No $140.00 17m ago
  • 0x9c7d…9881 SELL No $91.63 18m ago
  • 0xad52…11ac SELL No $122.80 20m ago
  • 0xbd04…fbb0 BUY No $324.95 20m ago
  • 0xbd04…fbb0 BUY No $368.15 20m ago
  • 0x385d…7996 BUY No $1.00 22m ago
  • 0x2c8a…5d15 SELL Yes $86.80 25m ago
  • 0x9603…bbd9 BUY No $10.00 26m ago
  • 0x6242…4cd0 BUY No $1.00 28m ago
  • 0xff91…ab3a BUY Yes $163.52 28m ago
  • 0x10f1…186f BUY Yes $1.00 31m ago
  • 0xa915…7714 BUY No $7.00 32m ago
  • 0xdd02…3431 BUY No $5.00 36m ago
  • 0x7334…cc1c BUY No $1.70 36m ago
  • 0xf0fa…efb0 BUY Yes $4.84 38m ago
  • 0x22a9…97ba BUY Yes $18.00 38m ago
  • 0x54a7…881b BUY Yes $8.60 40m ago
  • 0x5b71…cb46 BUY No $37.00 41m ago
  • 0x494d…84d7 SELL No $6.19 41m ago
  • 0x7907…d151 BUY Yes $1.00 42m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 SELL Yes $8.47 42m ago
  • 0xc3f6…060f SELL Yes $1.04 43m ago
  • 0x3b3d…b162 SELL No $210.32 43m ago
  • 0x8f41…260e BUY Yes $10.33 44m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.

Comments

yungsoleimani 1h ago

ofc when I tell aenews that hes eating his parent poo for dinner I will not join

alex77787 45m ago

koskesh khafe sho abero irania ro nabar

yungsoleimani 36m ago

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani 1h ago

Poopy pants

yungsoleimani 1h ago

All the money will be cejqq’s

yungsoleimani 1h ago

Yopp

NotMura 1h ago

Lots of announcements and distraction in Israel...

amirsafar 1h ago

hello guys im from iran, buy yes 31 july! free mony eazy, nothing from israel for now

ArieLethal 2h ago

No

iNeedMoreDollars 2h ago

netenyahu monday trip is a distraction they are going in tonight

0x77Fa7e303F7a8017016A8388EF7ebA40a4a31A63-1764354685885 3h ago

BIG: The US Embassy in Jerusalem issued a security alert warning Americans in Israel of "potential for unforeseen escalation". Citizens are told to prepare for flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions; know their nearest shelter.

Polo9991 5h ago

Tonight ?

HeDidWearASuit 5h ago

right tonight

Polo9991 4h ago

You put 4K on yes 25

FarseerProphecies 4h ago

It's IRST not ET, you've got less than five hours left for July 24th to resolve as yes

Car 6h ago

netanyahu going to US Monday.

alex77787 5h ago

no war will happen until july 28th

gustavchik88891 5h ago

what you think will happend?

0x6D48beCBF89302A90aA85c219e47D240924fAe38-1771873770857 2h ago

Why?

Namast3 11h ago

This will end and start again later

Voidofhype 20h ago

Tehran is being bombed right now. It's gotta be the israelis

Runefang 19h ago

I’m in Israel and I hear fighter jets haven’t heard in a while

ArieLethal 16h ago

I am also from Israel and I heard

Dave1231 Jul 23

It’s for this weekend

ArieLethal Jul 23

Today is the day

ArieLethal Jul 23

Today is the day🤌🤫

nosaben26 Jul 23

yesterday? Xq

0x6E598171FAB193DdCDb311C549f8335cb1CbfaAE-1769863000756 Jul 23

insider on 25 ?

0x50C860e03DAA799003e51983Eb1d35Ea3e640Bc4-1779295765188 Jul 23

sus high vol there...

0xb8B438f0702d8BaB9E6B7D8A5a7c25ac0FFAB68e-1778799969965 Jul 23

22, 25 and 31st have been open way longer thats why

0x50C860e03DAA799003e51983Eb1d35Ea3e640Bc4-1779295765188 23h ago

Thank you for clarification :)

Yitzhakz Jul 23

Whay this not resolved yet?!! 22 of July passed already, what is going on

mrDonkey. Jul 23

10:29 PM in Tel Aviv,

dfupagain Jul 23

Read the rules carefully. There will be no resolution for 3 days after the end date.

0x827A729c9238D25dbc289D3cCE9222237921A477-1776075708759 Jul 23

France also evacuated its staff from the embassy in Tehran

0xd65c9B6334f7E7B2f08f58e0722Cc23C37E529aa-1769532406918 Jul 23

bomb shelters are opening all around israel

TheJewishHammer Jul 23

Not all around, and not idf request.

nosaben26 Jul 23

Faker

Hummershark Jul 23

i am also count on Saturday early morning

nosaben26 Jul 23

I don't think so. 07/25 is my birthday, if happend it will amazing

0xd65c9B6334f7E7B2f08f58e0722Cc23C37E529aa-1769532406918 Jul 23

The attack will happen between thursday/friday or friday/saturday

ArieLethal Jul 23

today🤫 Am Yisrael Chai🇮🇱💪

ArieLethal Jul 23

There are new dates.

Relaccsed Jul 23

Muhahaha

ArieLethal Jul 22

Now an Israeli-American attack

0x6E598171FAB193DdCDb311C549f8335cb1CbfaAE-1769863000756 Jul 22

alarms in israel

0x01C71Aa8916B94fA9C5E7f31ccebEB5A066D5764-1770647794932 Jul 22

🔴 Peak readiness at Air Force bases and Home Front Command - "Waiting for green light from the US".

0x01C71Aa8916B94fA9C5E7f31ccebEB5A066D5764-1770647794932 Jul 22

🔴 Security source: "The chance of renewed firing at Israel is increasing. The public is asked to be prepared for any announcement from the Home Front Command."

yungsoleimani Jul 22

yopp

namibia Jul 22

surely not

Imo7o Jul 22

As much as I would like the IRGC to do it, i don’t think it is going to happen

ArieLethal Jul 22

Your loss

ArieLethal Jul 22

Tomorrow🤫

0x6E598171FAB193DdCDb311C549f8335cb1CbfaAE-1769863000756 Jul 21

Israel council was hit

LShibalba Jul 22

What?

D33pCynic Jul 20

Stupid rules on this one, according to Israel they shot down every missile ever launched at them and the videos we saw of damage in Tel Aviv are AI fakes.

BlindAndDeaf Jul 20

Israel never claimed such thing + real damage have been shown on Israeli mainstream media

FazbearEntertaiment Jul 20

Only barely, most hit open areas

D33pCynic Jul 21

Yes, i wasnt being hyperbolic to make a point at all, Israel has been entirely transparent about Iranian missile strikes during this war

Incognitoo Jul 19

why isn’t the 18th of July market resolved?