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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

nm568 Jul 2

Iran firmly rejects surrendering its enriched uranium reserves, so no such deal will materialize in the near future.

SIMOMEGA Jul 2

obv

usurper55 Jun 29

Correct me if i am wrong, an agreement of Iran to dillute their enriched uranium stockpile to a x% of enrichment, inside iran under western supervision is considered as a NO.

NOIZYUV Jun 29

Correct. Iran has to announce or sign an agreement agreeing that some uranium (any amount) will be transferred out of the country

SIMOMEGA Jun 29

then why are you on yes

NOIZYUV Jun 23

Iranian Ambassador to the UN says transferring enriched uranium to Russia is under consideration, Al Arabiya reports

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 23

No way ahahahahahah

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 23

They would rather eat it than ship (or most likely sale) away aahhahahahah

egos2 Jun 20

Mañana tambien no se dará la reunion programada, compare el % aca y el de la reunion que dice se llevara antes del 30 en Suiza

SIMOMEGA Jun 30

speak english or shut up

Mission3 Jun 19

Iran will never do total surrender

0x88bc7d0F219A0954D5FdED6fc362eFf8064b57D5-1776460552192 Jun 19

Loving the cope from the “yes” crowd here

sonnguyen95 Jun 21

rig this shieet pls

0x88bc7d0F219A0954D5FdED6fc362eFf8064b57D5-1776460552192 Jun 19

TOTAL IRANIAN VICTORY

YOH-SEF-SH-LO-MO Jun 18

JD VANCE: They've made very concrete nuclear commitments. They have committed to the destruction of their highly enriched stockpile.

SIMOMEGA Jun 29

source?

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 16

They will bring a case of stuff to Geneva, so that Donald may try the product :)

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 16

"Where is the head of my nuclear program and procurer of women? Where is Nuclear Nadal?"

lox-frogs Jun 17

he's home for the day, his wife is Al-adeen

oopslostmoney Jun 17

Hahaha, that was really funny

Karim89 Jun 15

Everyone who put NO here. Find a completed Nuclear Deal market. Today the polymarket completed this remark as Yes. Although it is common knowledge that no nuclear deal was reached. Even the preliminary agreement has not been signed yet. Save you money before it is not to late. Scam here

disabledsenses Jun 17

wtf

Oracle99 Jun 14

What if the uranium is simply destroyed? It should still be counted as "surrendered"; however, it remains unclear whether it would be classified as transferred, shipped, or placed under custodial control.

DonationsReceiver Jun 14

don't bet if you can't even understand the rules

Oracle99 Jun 15

Ok which rule??

iutwpfal Jun 15

Destroyed how

iutwpfal Jun 15

Controlled demolition?

Oracle99 Jun 17

I see... thanks

wesygwseygws Jun 14

have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important

binkjoe Jun 13

holding onto that

awertgartygr Jun 13

Love it

artqetrwaet Jun 13

Really nice

tyuturty7 Jun 13

Excellent

hgjkghjk Jun 13

Well done

wseywersytwe Jun 13

lets trade

redytreyt Jun 13

my guess is they agreed to dilute it,thats it.

ewtgewtgewyt Jun 13

JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran agreed to give up enriched uranium in proposed deal announced by President Trump, NYT reports.

IMHO Jun 12

No way Iran's gonna give it up after all that.

Onswaggie Jun 4

Trump announces "we will go get" Iran's enriched uranium in the near future. No way they get to an agreement as the criteria says.

hellowpawel Jun 1

have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important

Inchoroi May 26

Does dilution under the supervision of the IAEA within Iran satisfy the requirements?

TheKinginYellow May 26

no, must leave iran

kelsai24 May 25

kelsai24 May 25

skamsniffer May 25

this is a scam ofc

adonpoli May 25

IRAN DENIES AL HADATH REPORT ON EXPORTING ENRICHED URANIUM – TASNIM

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-1773438923979 May 25

they agreed to transfer it to china

Mahakaal May 25

Yea please buy more yes

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-1773438923979 May 25

lol i will buy more

zthunderfury May 25

what maturity ?

0x17cF29b47A2426d432214472EEe58c647fDc60f7-1765011609524 May 25

And why you're selling?

snayaye May 31

enjoyed?

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-1773438923979 May 25

Iran requires the transfer of highly enriched uranium to China - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-1773438923979 May 25

Iran seeks guarantees from China before proceeding with the agreement with the United States - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-1773438923979 May 25

Senior sources of the event: Iran is ready to remove highly enriched uranium from its territory - Al Hadath

Core1.5 May 25

"DUBAI, May 24 (Reuters) - A senior Iranian source told ​Reuters on Sunday ‌that Tehran has not agreed to hand ​over its highly ​enriched uranium stockpile. The ⁠source said Iran's ​nuclear issue was not ​part of the preliminary agreement with the United States."

PAULPAUL3 May 25

peachtea not buying anymore at cheaper price?

zthunderfury May 25

After 38 days of war and 50 days of ceasefire and intense negotiations and now there is a ‘verbal commitment’ from the regime in Iran. That is very reassuring since they are historically famous for their honesty, decency and truthfulness.

TESTENAOMEXA May 25

It's war. Words have no meaning, from both sides

lox-frogs May 25

Unless you're trading this market. Here words are strong.