Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
Iran firmly rejects surrendering its enriched uranium reserves, so no such deal will materialize in the near future.
obv
Correct me if i am wrong, an agreement of Iran to dillute their enriched uranium stockpile to a x% of enrichment, inside iran under western supervision is considered as a NO.
Correct. Iran has to announce or sign an agreement agreeing that some uranium (any amount) will be transferred out of the country
then why are you on yes
Iranian Ambassador to the UN says transferring enriched uranium to Russia is under consideration, Al Arabiya reports
No way ahahahahahah
They would rather eat it than ship (or most likely sale) away aahhahahahah
Mañana tambien no se dará la reunion programada, compare el % aca y el de la reunion que dice se llevara antes del 30 en Suiza
speak english or shut up
Iran will never do total surrender
Loving the cope from the “yes” crowd here
rig this shieet pls
TOTAL IRANIAN VICTORY
JD VANCE: They've made very concrete nuclear commitments. They have committed to the destruction of their highly enriched stockpile.
source?
They will bring a case of stuff to Geneva, so that Donald may try the product :)
"Where is the head of my nuclear program and procurer of women? Where is Nuclear Nadal?"
he's home for the day, his wife is Al-adeen
Hahaha, that was really funny
Everyone who put NO here. Find a completed Nuclear Deal market. Today the polymarket completed this remark as Yes. Although it is common knowledge that no nuclear deal was reached. Even the preliminary agreement has not been signed yet. Save you money before it is not to late. Scam here
wtf
What if the uranium is simply destroyed? It should still be counted as "surrendered"; however, it remains unclear whether it would be classified as transferred, shipped, or placed under custodial control.
don't bet if you can't even understand the rules
Ok which rule??
Destroyed how
Controlled demolition?
I see... thanks
have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important
holding onto that
Love it
Really nice
Excellent
Well done
lets trade
my guess is they agreed to dilute it,thats it.
JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran agreed to give up enriched uranium in proposed deal announced by President Trump, NYT reports.
No way Iran's gonna give it up after all that.
Trump announces "we will go get" Iran's enriched uranium in the near future. No way they get to an agreement as the criteria says.
have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important
Does dilution under the supervision of the IAEA within Iran satisfy the requirements?
no, must leave iran
this is a scam ofc
IRAN DENIES AL HADATH REPORT ON EXPORTING ENRICHED URANIUM – TASNIM
they agreed to transfer it to china
Yea please buy more yes
lol i will buy more
what maturity ?
And why you're selling?
enjoyed?
Iran requires the transfer of highly enriched uranium to China - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya
Iran seeks guarantees from China before proceeding with the agreement with the United States - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya
Senior sources of the event: Iran is ready to remove highly enriched uranium from its territory - Al Hadath
"DUBAI, May 24 (Reuters) - A senior Iranian source told Reuters on Sunday that Tehran has not agreed to hand over its highly enriched uranium stockpile. The source said Iran's nuclear issue was not part of the preliminary agreement with the United States."
peachtea not buying anymore at cheaper price?
After 38 days of war and 50 days of ceasefire and intense negotiations and now there is a ‘verbal commitment’ from the regime in Iran. That is very reassuring since they are historically famous for their honesty, decency and truthfulness.
It's war. Words have no meaning, from both sides
Unless you're trading this market. Here words are strong.