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How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

UK Vol. $96,517 50 traders

287%
314%
4+0%
10%
$96,517 Vol. UK

Outcomes

4
Chance
1 Resolved
0%
2
87%
3
14%
4+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x272c…7f07 SELL Yes $4.30 5h ago
  • 0xdc13…cbca BUY No $8.47 Jul 23
  • 0xdc13…cbca BUY No $60.32 Jul 23
  • 0xdc13…cbca BUY No $52.03 Jul 23
  • 0x29bf…f7dd SELL Yes $5.37 Jul 23
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $49.84 Jul 23
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $31.64 Jul 23
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $354.93 Jul 23
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $225.32 Jul 23
  • 0xcb59…0a22 BUY Yes $150.00 Jul 23
  • 0x0b5b…c738 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 23
  • 0x4bf4…7021 SELL Yes $197.70 Jul 22
  • 0x15ad…ff9d BUY No $5.00 Jul 22
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $18.20 Jul 22
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $129.61 Jul 22
  • 0x4ac9…cf1a SELL No $110.50 Jul 22
  • 0xcb32…e1c8 SELL No $2.60 Jul 22
  • 0xa566…9539 BUY No $30.00 Jul 21
  • 0x9c90…17ef SELL Yes $0.08 Jul 21
  • 0x0b5b…c738 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0xa4ba…c5d8 SELL Yes $4.55 Jul 20
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $21.96 Jul 20
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $155.90 Jul 20
  • 0xed10…45eb BUY Yes $50.00 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $4.47 Jul 20
  • 0x807f…f420 BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $31.80 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $4.43 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $31.48 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $5.09 Jul 20
  • 0x5121…488c BUY Yes $4.43 Jul 20
  • 0x3cdd…bdc6 BUY Yes $4.41 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $36.21 Jul 20
  • 0x29da…8a75 BUY Yes $5.01 Jul 20
  • 0x29bf…f7dd BUY Yes $5.37 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $140.00 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $870.00 Jul 20
  • 0xdbf7…fbea BUY Yes $16.00 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $140.00 Jul 20
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $870.00 Jul 20

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comments

nomerlot Jul 14

2 seems like easy money to me. Does anyone have any explanation for 3? Seems totally implausible.