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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

Science Vol. $5,277 50 traders

074%
>50%
40%
50%
$5,277 Vol. Science

Outcomes

7
Chance
0
74% ▲ 8
1
22% ▼ 2
2
6%
3
1% ▼ 1
4
<1% ▼ 1
5
<1%
>5
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x9797…2532 SELL Yes $0.08 8h ago
  • 0x206a…2097 BUY No $35.96 9h ago
  • 0xf20b…b026 BUY No $32.97 12h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $7.96 13h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $9.49 13h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $12.03 14h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $10.00 15h ago
  • 0xc1ee…5904 BUY No $1.00 15h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $6.06 18h ago
  • 0x783c…fd0d BUY Yes $120.60 20h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $18.53 Jul 23
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $6.51 Jul 23
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY Yes $16.50 Jul 23
  • 0x34fe…4a5b BUY No $18.00 Jul 23
  • 0x34fe…4a5b BUY No $10.80 Jul 23
  • 0x34fe…4a5b BUY No $16.42 Jul 23
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.00 Jul 23
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY No $5.70 Jul 23
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $14.50 Jul 23
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $19.54 Jul 23
  • 0xf18c…18c1 SELL No $15.47 Jul 23
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0x90cf…6cc2 BUY Yes $150.00 Jul 23
  • 0x2f00…afc7 BUY No $28.77 Jul 23
  • 0xbfd9…1236 SELL Yes $1.06 Jul 23
  • 0x2ed9…8496 SELL Yes $10.20 Jul 23
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $16.90 Jul 23
  • 0x655c…4420 SELL Yes $2.27 Jul 23
  • 0xbfd9…1236 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 23
  • 0x06a3…fa45 BUY No $100.00 Jul 23
  • 0x06a3…fa45 BUY No $100.00 Jul 23
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $12.61 Jul 23
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $14.00 Jul 23
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $50.00 Jul 23
  • 0x9acd…a3fe BUY No $49.00 Jul 22
  • 0xb220…5f71 BUY No $9.79 Jul 22
  • 0xb220…5f71 BUY No $1.86 Jul 22
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $0.39 Jul 22
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $3.55 Jul 22

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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