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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

Science Vol. $17,182 50 traders

≤841%
1016%
920%
1111%
$17,182 Vol. Science

Outcomes

8
Chance
≤8
41% ▼ 14
9
20% ▲ 4
10
16% ▲ 4
11
10% ▲ 2
12
4% ▼ 2
13
3%
14
4%
>14
5%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xbceb…0049 SELL No $9.99 7m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $21.93 8m ago
  • 0xbceb…0049 SELL No $6.97 8m ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $45.00 9m ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $3.23 17m ago
  • 0xa6d3…1a2a SELL No $13.34 1h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $10.13 1h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL No $13.34 1h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $9.20 1h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY No $14.03 1h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $50.00 2h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL No $27.00 2h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY Yes $8.97 3h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL No $8.83 3h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $2.16 3h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL No $24.46 4h ago
  • 0x22fa…8135 SELL Yes $17.72 4h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $16.38 4h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY No $25.62 4h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL No $22.95 4h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $56.59 4h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $39.97 4h ago
  • 0xbceb…0049 SELL No $36.87 4h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $11.00 4h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL Yes $68.00 4h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $66.22 4h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $4.86 4h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY No $20.00 4h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $67.15 6h ago
  • 0xdbee…824e BUY Yes $94.78 6h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $1.74 10h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $10.00 15h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $1.52 17h ago
  • 0x0314…2f6d BUY Yes $1.05 19h ago
  • 0xbbe5…fe4a SELL Yes $5.60 20h ago
  • 0xa8fc…531f BUY No $24.70 20h ago
  • 0xa8fc…531f BUY No $24.70 20h ago
  • 0xd05b…fbba SELL Yes $1.41 Jul 24
  • 0x50b1…988c SELL Yes $8.11 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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