How high will inflation get in 2026?
Outcomes
8Recent trades
40- 0x2482…fd45 BUY Yes $26.82 2h ago
- 0xba74…ad37 SELL Yes $0.39 2h ago
- 0x2482…fd45 BUY Yes $4.13 4h ago
- 0xee01…04d3 SELL No $3.80 5h ago
- 0x0fa2…05aa BUY Yes $12.00 6h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $11.50 10h ago
- 0x3991…3d0f BUY No $16.84 10h ago
- 0x6b49…2e46 BUY No $221.36 10h ago
- 0x8bf2…0d85 SELL Yes $1.17 11h ago
- 0xa255…2ffc SELL No $70.80 13h ago
- 0xa0d3…5b5e SELL No $148.00 17h ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $74.00 20h ago
- 0x4d82…a5e9 BUY Yes $100.00 20h ago
- 0xa2a8…c2e5 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 23
- 0x0fa2…05aa BUY Yes $12.50 Jul 23
- 0x63c4…4961 SELL Yes $1.74 Jul 23
- 0x85e7…5e49 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 23
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $84.00 Jul 23
- 0xf7ec…e53a SELL No $42.30 Jul 23
- 0xff06…2f60 BUY Yes $163.85 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $12.45 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $150.00 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $125.00 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $125.00 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $126.25 Jul 23
- 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $1.63 Jul 23
- 0x35ef…1dd4 BUY No $5.00 Jul 23
- 0xf5a4…ff8e SELL No $5.27 Jul 23
- 0xd9fa…e9c2 SELL Yes $1.58 Jul 22
- 0x8e42…a043 SELL Yes $1.43 Jul 22
- 0xe807…4d35 SELL No $73.78 Jul 21
- 0xe807…4d35 SELL No $26.49 Jul 21
- 0xe807…4d35 SELL No $37.15 Jul 21
- 0x43fd…59d3 SELL No $38.00 Jul 21
- 0x85e7…5e49 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
- 0xef0d…3938 BUY No $100.00 Jul 21
- 0xb924…0803 SELL No $38.00 Jul 21
- 0x35e1…f41d SELL No $5.88 Jul 21
- 0x35e1…f41d SELL No $196.00 Jul 21
- 0x82ae…2890 SELL No $0.35 Jul 21
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comments
YES is massively undervalued. In 2025, between June and December, the CPI grew by only 0.46% TOTAL, and only because oil/gas prices tanked. From now on, CPI YoY has a stairway to heaven. Hoard toilet paper before October.
How are these odds so low when the Strait of Hormuz is still closed and Cushing, OK is about to hit tank bottoms? What am I missing?
you know where is drop?
If I wouldn't have a wife, I would spend all my money on 4,5 and 5% options, too good to be true...
Its a good trade but always manage your risk
are u still thinking the same?
Hot job data today. Sell crypto, buy toilet paper. Your butt will thank me in October when TP will be more valuable than gold in the US.
lol
ICYMI: more AWFUL news. Import prices crushed (2x) the forecast, and bond yields are skyrocketing. Forget this bet, consider selling crypto/bitcoin and stocking up on toilet paper.
The PPI read today was AWFUL. PPI anticipates CPI when inflation is driven by commodities (like oil) and supply chain issues.
Do you guys think if the energy prices stay high for 2-3 more months, can it hit 6%?
OECD says 4.2% average, which would suggest at least one month has to pop above 5%. [link removed]
OECD says 4.2% average, which means you would have some months in 5.5% range at least. This report was done in April 2026, when Hormuz was only closed 3-4 weeks. [link removed]
Well, then let the inflation begin:D
kick rocks MKIsabella
Guys! a hypothetical question: if Apr CPI were 3.5%, it would not be counted as above 3.5%?
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports." Rule set seems clear to me. 3.5 Exactly is not enough, needs to be 3.6.
thx man
Oil futures just fell by 20 dollars due to Iran agreeing to the ceasefire, which would flatten out the inflation in the future
Dw. The ceasefire gonna work out just fine.
Feb was 2.4%?
%Bond market:Epstein client list released by June 30?
iran state is temporarily. inflation will drop like a rock, we're headed for recession
temporarily what?
they will drag US for long war
nah. delta force will finish it quick. iran situation will end in march
Didn’t age well
How's this going Mr Delta force 🤣🤣
be patient
just wait few weeks
waited. what's next
Still waiting
Chatgpt says the inflation is 3.5 procent now in 2026? Do i miss something?
That Strait of Hormuz being fucked with is going to mess shit up bad.
Don't they just manipulate this data? I'm still taking some bets on 3% inflation but yeah... they probably just screw me the entire year by changing around PCE metrics
Why did 3% drop so much what is happening