Sign Up
← Markets

Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

Oil Vol. $35,112 50 traders

July 2626%
August 3113%
July 2472%
August 2011%
$35,112 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

39
Chance
July 24
72% ▲ 44
July 25
50% ▲ 34
July 26
26% ▼ 9
July 27
16% ▼ 9
July 28
16% ▼ 14
July 29
12% ▼ 2
July 30
17% ▲ 6
July 31
20% ▲ 7
August 1
11% ▼ 1
August 2
13%
August 3
17% ▲ 9
August 4
12% ▼ 3
August 5
16% ▲ 6
August 6
12% ▲ 2
August 7
16% ▲ 9
August 8
9% ▼ 2
August 9
32% ▲ 25
August 10
15% ▲ 4
August 11
12%
August 12
14%
August 13
13% ▲ 2
August 14
14% ▲ 3
August 15
8% ▲ 1
August 16
17% ▲ 5
August 17
13% ▲ 7
August 18
12%
August 19
16% ▲ 9
August 20
11% ▼ 3
August 21
13% ▲ 6
August 22
34% ▲ 27
August 23
16% ▲ 7
August 24
24% ▲ 14
August 25
18% ▼ 14
August 26
38% ▲ 27
August 27
10% ▲ 2
August 28
13% ▲ 4
August 29
15% ▲ 7
August 30
13% ▲ 6
August 31
13% ▲ 5

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd0a3…962f BUY Yes $3.20 3m ago
  • 0xd0a3…962f BUY Yes $1.72 3m ago
  • 0xd0a3…962f BUY Yes $8.00 3m ago
  • 0x9e66…a1c0 BUY No $1.48 20m ago
  • 0x33e2…3a1b BUY No $73.35 20m ago
  • 0xb17d…59ae BUY No $98.00 28m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.61 32m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.04 32m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $52.00 32m ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $6.29 34m ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $8.78 37m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.14 38m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 38m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $10.00 38m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.13 38m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 38m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $9.00 38m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.15 39m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 39m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $9.00 39m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.13 47m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 47m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $7.00 47m ago
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.48 47m ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 47m ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $22.00 47m ago
  • 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $17.00 1h ago
  • 0xc435…2494 BUY Yes $58.00 1h ago
  • 0x993c…6787 BUY Yes $120.00 1h ago
  • 0x993c…6787 BUY Yes $146.67 1h ago
  • 0x853c…bd03 BUY Yes $241.13 1h ago
  • 0x445e…2328 BUY No $12.95 2h ago
  • 0xf2f2…d1f0 SELL Yes $2.80 4h ago
  • 0x30db…33c0 BUY Yes $10.00 5h ago
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $4.41 6h ago
  • 0xd1d3…4afd BUY No $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL Yes $2.80 7h ago
  • 0xbdcd…0fe6 SELL Yes $7.40 7h ago
  • 0xb51a…67aa SELL Yes $2.37 7h ago
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL Yes $1.80 7h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

Comments