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Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Oil Vol. $23,875 50 traders

July 3182%
August 3191%
July 2445%
July 231%
$23,875 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

6
Chance
July 23
1% ▼ 4
July 24
45% ▲ 26
July 25
75% ▲ 31
July 31
83% ▲ 37
August 15
86% ▲ 29
August 31
91% ▲ 28

Recent trades

40
  • 0xb37a…f1b1 SELL Yes $14.97 3m ago
  • 0xb37a…f1b1 SELL Yes $40.11 3m ago
  • 0xbb48…52d9 BUY Yes $5.18 6m ago
  • 0xb37a…f1b1 SELL Yes $98.13 26m ago
  • 0x7e26…915c SELL Yes $4.37 39m ago
  • 0xbf14…5d95 SELL No $0.11 39m ago
  • 0xac76…9359 SELL No $7.98 39m ago
  • 0xa242…cd4b BUY Yes $1.00 41m ago
  • 0xa242…cd4b SELL No $2.91 48m ago
  • 0x1851…ae47 BUY No $3.70 48m ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $25.87 48m ago
  • 0x93bc…c5be SELL No $0.65 49m ago
  • 0x4c58…1fc0 BUY No $25.00 50m ago
  • 0x1851…ae47 BUY No $3.80 51m ago
  • 0xb37a…f1b1 BUY Yes $136.69 54m ago
  • 0xef32…265c BUY No $9.72 55m ago
  • 0xbada…d874 SELL No $0.61 59m ago
  • 0x184b…67b2 SELL Yes $1.65 59m ago
  • 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $5.50 59m ago
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $4.50 1h ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $904.37 1h ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $154.31 1h ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $634.81 1h ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $194.68 1h ago
  • 0xdaa6…3e62 SELL Yes $11.37 1h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $1.20 1h ago
  • 0x4d0e…c45b BUY Yes $35.60 1h ago
  • 0x371c…c236 SELL Yes $26.87 1h ago
  • 0xb37a…f1b1 BUY Yes $45.00 1h ago
  • 0xff7c…b233 BUY Yes $45.50 1h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
  • 0x1851…ae47 BUY No $0.95 1h ago
  • 0xa65c…7997 BUY Yes $91.52 1h ago
  • 0x7b84…a13e BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xd20b…3a20 BUY Yes $82.88 1h ago
  • 0x5605…a9ef BUY Yes $14.71 1h ago
  • 0x371c…c236 BUY Yes $12.87 1h ago
  • 0x371c…c236 BUY Yes $5.22 1h ago
  • 0x371c…c236 BUY Yes $4.90 1h ago
  • 0x93f9…8688 BUY Yes $15.00 1h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

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