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Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

AI Vol. $3,773 50 traders

50%+69%
70%+9%
60%+21%
65%+14%
$3,773 Vol. AI

Outcomes

5
Chance
50%+
69%
55%+
38%
60%+
21%
65%+
14%
70%+
9%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $2.77 3h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $12.39 4h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $11.20 4h ago
  • 0x56d3…e307 SELL No $6.20 5h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL Yes $11.02 6h ago
  • 0xa78c…ca1e BUY Yes $10.00 10h ago
  • 0x4708…9580 SELL Yes $12.00 10h ago
  • 0x714f…66d5 BUY No $69.99 10h ago
  • 0x71d0…b8dd SELL No $8.82 10h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL Yes $25.50 11h ago
  • 0x34cb…7588 SELL Yes $1.28 12h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL Yes $4.50 12h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL No $6.26 12h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL Yes $131.00 13h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL Yes $8.63 13h ago
  • 0x96ad…ca65 SELL No $1.90 13h ago
  • 0xa806…83ca SELL Yes $15.92 14h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $5.04 14h ago
  • 0x71d0…b8dd BUY No $4.45 14h ago
  • 0xc37d…b48c BUY No $18.89 14h ago
  • 0xa806…83ca SELL Yes $12.10 14h ago
  • 0x71d0…b8dd BUY No $8.80 14h ago
  • 0xf2cf…464b SELL Yes $1.26 14h ago
  • 0xa806…83ca SELL Yes $3.51 14h ago
  • 0x71d0…b8dd BUY No $17.64 14h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $29.60 15h ago
  • 0x34cb…7588 BUY No $3.75 15h ago
  • 0xa806…83ca BUY Yes $27.82 15h ago
  • 0x4708…9580 SELL No $10.53 15h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL Yes $113.75 15h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $1.14 15h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY Yes $185.61 15h ago
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $17.85 15h ago
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL No $3.20 17h ago
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL No $15.20 17h ago
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL No $16.60 17h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $10.80 18h ago
  • 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $10.79 18h ago
  • 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $4.67 18h ago
  • 0x2c8e…32df SELL No $32.80 18h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

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