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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed Vol. $867,572 50 traders

Pause–Pause–Pause71%
Other25%
Pause–Pause–Cut1%
Cut–Cut–Cut0%
$867,572 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
0%
Pause–Pause–Pause
72% ▼ 1
Pause–Pause–Cut
<1%
Pause–Cut–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Pause–Cut–Cut Resolved
0%
Other
25%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY Yes $7.22 3m ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $11.18 3m ago
  • 0xeb54…3cef BUY Yes $7.40 24m ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $75.56 44m ago
  • 0xb635…f0fd SELL Yes $228.62 1h ago
  • 0x56ec…5f73 SELL Yes $27.23 1h ago
  • 0x56ec…5f73 SELL Yes $3.69 1h ago
  • 0x56ec…5f73 SELL Yes $3.70 2h ago
  • 0x56ec…5f73 SELL Yes $3.71 2h ago
  • 0x2ac7…5db3 SELL Yes $1.67 3h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $37.05 3h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.46 3h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.20 3h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.33 3h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY No $12.85 3h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY No $2.19 3h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 SELL No $0.52 4h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY No $125.32 4h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 SELL No $1.19 4h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY No $190.39 4h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY No $23.20 4h ago
  • 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $1.15 4h ago
  • 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $1.15 4h ago
  • 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $13.11 4h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $0.22 4h ago
  • 0x67d6…245e BUY Yes $367.22 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.91 5h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $196.41 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.84 5h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $99.66 5h ago
  • 0xb2e4…b7f1 BUY No $39.56 5h ago
  • 0x67d6…245e BUY Yes $97.48 5h ago
  • 0x67d6…245e BUY Yes $382.90 5h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.07 7h ago
  • 0xf83e…4663 BUY No $24.90 11h ago
  • 0xe1ca…6779 BUY No $626.50 17h ago
  • 0x17a2…630b BUY Yes $1.02 23h ago
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $27.63 Jul 23
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY No $20.61 Jul 23
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY No $199.40 Jul 23

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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