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Core PCE YoY - June 2026

PCE Vol. $16,552 50 traders

3.5%6%
≤3.3%73%
3.4%22%
3.6%1%
$16,552 Vol. PCE

Outcomes

7
Chance
≤3.3%
73% ▼ 4
3.4%
22% ▲ 12
3.5%
6%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%+
3%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $39.00 1h ago
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL No $39.00 5h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $9.71 5h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $50.15 6h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $41.00 6h ago
  • 0xe086…0450 SELL Yes $37.50 6h ago
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $42.50 6h ago
  • 0x4060…c1c4 BUY No $15.00 6h ago
  • 0x4060…c1c4 BUY Yes $50.00 6h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $8.38 23h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 SELL No $3.28 23h ago
  • 0xe503…5260 BUY Yes $10.00 23h ago
  • 0x133f…90d6 BUY Yes $4.68 Jul 24
  • 0xcf73…230c BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x3772…628a BUY No $1.20 Jul 24
  • 0x6306…e4f6 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x0f76…859f BUY No $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7c98…8280 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x9b94…48c6 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x19bc…a91a BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x28fe…28c9 BUY No $3.00 Jul 24
  • 0xef17…d811 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x0933…8724 BUY No $2.00 Jul 24
  • 0xc757…6940 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0xb8c9…d2c6 BUY No $2.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7023…8934 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x7790…fd32 BUY No $2.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7a3f…7560 BUY Yes $4.68 Jul 24
  • 0x63fc…93ba BUY No $1.50 Jul 24
  • 0xa26c…2c7a BUY No $2.00 Jul 24
  • 0x002e…b542 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 24
  • 0x61f0…db96 BUY Yes $1.95 Jul 23
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $0.56 Jul 23
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $23.15 Jul 22
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $44.55 Jul 22
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $22.29 Jul 22
  • 0xb1a1…dd34 SELL No $144.40 Jul 22
  • 0x613b…da44 SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 22
  • 0xcceb…f030 SELL No $9.00 Jul 21
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.30 Jul 20

This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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