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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

GDP Vol. $8,421 50 traders

4.6-4.9%38%
4.3-4.6%43%
4.0-4.3%13%
5.5%+0%
$8,421 Vol. GDP

Outcomes

9
Chance
<3.4%
1% ▼ 1
3.4-3.7%
3%
3.7-4.0%
1%
4.0-4.3%
13% ▼ 6
4.3-4.6%
43% ▼ 5
4.6-4.9%
38% ▲ 11
4.9-5.2%
8% ▼ 1
5.2-5.5%
2% ▼ 1
5.5%+
<1% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL Yes $6.11 17m ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $5.60 50m ago
  • 0x374e…c055 BUY Yes $4.40 50m ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $19.25 1h ago
  • 0x50bf…6381 SELL Yes $3.00 3h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $64.10 6h ago
  • 0xd10a…b9cd SELL No $3.20 6h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $17.00 6h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $3.19 6h ago
  • 0x9eda…6e19 SELL Yes $18.00 6h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb BUY No $126.87 6h ago
  • 0xdf3b…880a BUY No $6.00 6h ago
  • 0xdf3b…880a BUY No $1.00 8h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb BUY No $18.50 8h ago
  • 0xdf3b…880a BUY No $1.00 8h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb BUY No $18.50 8h ago
  • 0xdf3b…880a BUY No $1.00 8h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb BUY No $6.89 8h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 9h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 9h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $1.09 9h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb BUY No $2.30 9h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.97 9h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.67 9h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.65 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.99 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.99 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.93 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.13 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.02 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.27 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $15.84 9h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $5.70 9h ago
  • 0x7a70…95dd BUY No $1.14 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $15.97 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $15.97 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $13.92 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.76 9h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.12 9h ago
  • 0x073e…8416 SELL No $55.78 9h ago

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html

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