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China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Vol. $799,332 50 traders

4.0–5.0%86%
9.0%+0%
5.0–6.0%11%
3.0–4.0%2%
$799,332 Vol. China

Outcomes

10
Chance
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
86%
5.0–6.0%
11%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x19b8…0c6c BUY Yes $1.00 9h ago
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $8.00 15h ago
  • 0x89f4…ced1 SELL No $3.08 15h ago
  • 0x0579…1f00 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 23
  • 0x4777…1e79 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x0992…b890 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x5daa…6a15 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $8.75 Jul 23
  • 0x239f…8b82 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x0657…2b79 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x002d…47a2 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0xd99c…8490 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0xf79e…e434 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $299.57 Jul 23
  • 0xcdf8…b8ea SELL Yes $2595.76 Jul 23
  • 0xff13…9a51 SELL No $7.39 Jul 23
  • 0x5e2c…5dc1 SELL Yes $54.38 Jul 23
  • 0x14c2…73b2 BUY Yes $177.06 Jul 23
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $68.91 Jul 23
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $9.12 Jul 23
  • 0x4509…6448 BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 23
  • 0xd50f…4ecb BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 22
  • 0xfe41…e151 SELL Yes $5.22 Jul 22
  • 0xb242…eb89 SELL Yes $472.82 Jul 22
  • 0xc0fb…2acb BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 22
  • 0x2fe9…8d6d BUY Yes $5.28 Jul 22
  • 0x6a60…ea7d SELL Yes $9.61 Jul 21
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0xc39f…a5ab BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 21
  • 0x220e…74ce SELL No $18.88 Jul 21
  • 0x65e3…15ad BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $14.77 Jul 21
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x6c7c…6f90 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x3285…f63d SELL Yes $76.13 Jul 21
  • 0x19ae…395c BUY No $10.00 Jul 21
  • 0x94b5…f2c9 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0x38df…0935 BUY Yes $2.07 Jul 20
  • 0x220e…74ce BUY No $19.00 Jul 20
  • 0x3a2e…64a4 BUY No $9.82 Jul 20

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Comments

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

五号电池这个外号不是白叫的

Lilian0129 Jul 20

这你也信？有没有点脑子，今年就让你看跌破5%，Q2才增长4.3

JianpingDai May 18

If the published figure is 5%, then is the result calculated as 4%-5% or 5%-6%?😅

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

5, as per the rule says, it will get to the upper bracket if it lands on the middle

Epic-Funeral Apr 17

crazy buying

Chims Apr 16

什么傻逼在买5以上?

stellarisxc May 24

如果正好5%会结算在5%-6%选项。定的目标是全年4.5-5%，对统计局年末凑数据表示担心

0xE6D96F9b450766fD3eA2C71b5Ac6651500becf70-1770020175380 Jun 21

担心很有道理

Furmaner Feb 26

Goated!!