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Bank of Japan Decision in July?

BOJ Vol. $292,437 50 traders

50+ bps increase0%
No change97%
25 bps increase3%
25 bps decrease0%
$292,437 Vol. BOJ

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
97% ▲ 1
25 bps increase
3% ▼ 1
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $103.05 7m ago
  • 0xc04a…e3ae BUY No $5.00 10m ago
  • 0x6813…1701 SELL Yes $0.99 2h ago
  • 0x6813…1701 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0x509e…c825 BUY Yes $35.00 3h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 BUY Yes $4.87 3h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 BUY No $4.87 3h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $528.16 3h ago
  • 0x8a7b…782f BUY Yes $2.00 3h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $319.08 4h ago
  • 0xa0e1…a653 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0x9868…907e SELL Yes $0.03 4h ago
  • 0xc785…4ef2 SELL Yes $0.03 4h ago
  • 0xc785…4ef2 BUY Yes $0.76 4h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $51.42 4h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $1.10 4h ago
  • 0x24ef…ba00 BUY Yes $1.01 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $58.50 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $1.56 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $0.06 4h ago
  • 0x24ef…ba00 BUY Yes $1.01 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.25 4h ago
  • 0xc785…4ef2 BUY Yes $0.88 4h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.99 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.25 4h ago
  • 0xc785…4ef2 BUY Yes $0.96 4h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.99 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $33.68 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $0.86 4h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $0.03 4h ago
  • 0x24ef…ba00 BUY No $1.01 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $2.04 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $1.20 4h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 BUY No $0.48 4h ago
  • 0x24ef…ba00 BUY No $1.01 4h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $14.68 4h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $53.55 4h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $73.98 4h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $49.95 4h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.96 4h ago

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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