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Bank of Canada Decision in September?

Canada Vol. $9,172 50 traders

No Change83%
25 bps increase12%
25 bps decrease2%
50+ bps increase1%
$9,172 Vol. Canada

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1% ▲ 1
25 bps increase
12% ▼ 6
No Change
83% ▲ 5
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
1% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $2.28 46m ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $3.55 1h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $3.55 1h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $4.97 1h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $7.75 1h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $3.61 1h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $2.10 8h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $8.99 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $7.85 9h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $1.33 9h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $0.31 9h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $8.98 9h ago
  • 0x5073…16a7 BUY Yes $100.00 9h ago
  • 0xf057…ab54 SELL No $5.17 10h ago
  • 0x6ae0…b747 BUY Yes $14.90 10h ago
  • 0x6ae0…b747 BUY Yes $79.50 10h ago
  • 0x6ae0…b747 BUY Yes $3.90 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $3.96 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.16 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.70 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.01 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.70 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $3.96 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.16 10h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.70 10h ago
  • 0xb41e…11fd SELL Yes $3.06 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $3.99 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.16 10h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 10h ago
  • 0x39c3…0c7e SELL Yes $13.81 12h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.98 17h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $4.76 17h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $4.60 17h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $2.38 17h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $3.63 17h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its September 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its September 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

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