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Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Economy Vol. $159,218 50 traders

25 bps decrease79%
No Change21%
50+ bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase1%
$159,218 Vol. Economy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
<1%
No Change
21% ▼ 1
25 bps decrease
79% ▲ 3
50+ bps decrease
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 BUY Yes $1.09 3h ago
  • 0x377d…dddd SELL No $2.00 4h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.98 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.97 4h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $9.98 4h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $7.95 4h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $10.20 4h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $6.51 4h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $6.51 4h ago
  • 0xb141…aa3b SELL No $9.87 4h ago
  • 0x3afe…01d4 SELL No $21.56 4h ago
  • 0xb7d5…0789 BUY No $75.17 7h ago
  • 0xb7d5…0789 BUY No $25.30 7h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $9.29 8h ago
  • 0xb7d5…0789 BUY Yes $101.08 8h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $2.00 12h ago
  • 0xe086…0450 BUY No $14.40 16h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $15.84 16h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $5.98 16h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $1.00 18h ago
  • 0x2f26…0d8f BUY Yes $1.80 19h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $28.98 21h ago
  • 0x4d77…af31 BUY Yes $380.00 21h ago
  • 0xd44c…28c5 SELL No $1.41 21h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $3.98 23h ago
  • 0x21ff…0d71 SELL No $67.87 Jul 24
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 SELL No $19.53 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY Yes $9.63 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY Yes $9.85 Jul 23
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $2.85 Jul 23
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $12.32 Jul 23
  • 0x2d66…6b1f SELL Yes $12.06 Jul 23
  • 0x1229…df38 BUY Yes $18.20 Jul 23
  • 0xf7ec…e53a SELL No $81.05 Jul 23
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $81.79 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY Yes $70.59 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY No $20.58 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY No $20.58 Jul 23
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL Yes $31.60 Jul 23
  • 0x3afe…01d4 BUY No $18.90 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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