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Chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane41%
Lionel Messi4%
Ousmane Dembélé2%
Lamine Yamal25%
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Outcomes
89Kylian Mbappé
12%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Lamine Yamal
25%
▼ 1
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Harry Kane
41%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Other
0%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Vitinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Lionel Messi
4%
Rodri
12%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Gavi
0%
W
0%
X
0%
Y
0%
Z
0%
AA
0%
AB
0%
AC
0%
AD
0%
AE
0%
AF
0%
AG
0%
AH
0%
AI
0%
AJ
0%
AK
0%
AL
0%
AM
0%
AN
0%
AO
0%
AP
0%
AQ
0%
AR
0%
AS
0%
AT
0%
AU
0%
AV
0%
AW
0%
AX
0%
AY
0%
AZ
0%
BA
0%
BB
0%
BC
0%
BD
0%
BE
0%
BF
0%
BG
0%
BH
0%
BI
0%
BJ
0%
BK
0%
BL
0%
BM
0%
BN
0%
BO
0%
BP
0%
BQ
0%
BR
0%
BS
0%
BT
0%
BU
0%
BV
0%
BW
0%
BX
0%
BY
0%
BZ
0%
Recent trades
40- 0xeca3…c515 BUY Yes $1.00 1m ago
- 0xd6fc…941e BUY Yes $1.90 1m ago
- 0x089e…70dc BUY Yes $5.00 1m ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $5.21 3m ago
- 0xa3d6…172a BUY Yes $2.00 7m ago
- 0xc620…a4b1 SELL No $1.24 11m ago
- 0x1646…2f81 BUY Yes $58.00 12m ago
- 0x2255…737f BUY Yes $1.02 18m ago
- 0x2255…737f BUY Yes $1.02 18m ago
- 0x2255…737f BUY Yes $1.02 19m ago
- 0xc3cd…816c SELL No $75.00 24m ago
- 0x7449…c05e BUY No $2.40 25m ago
- 0x7c12…93a7 SELL Yes $1.00 26m ago
- 0x050b…dd18 SELL Yes $1.00 29m ago
- 0x5e89…1d78 BUY Yes $1.00 36m ago
- 0x39f7…93dc SELL Yes $0.72 38m ago
- 0x674f…b6b6 SELL No $7.55 39m ago
- 0x5170…9158 BUY Yes $1.00 47m ago
- 0x7c12…93a7 BUY Yes $1.00 59m ago
- 0x8b5e…258c BUY Yes $25.50 1h ago
- 0x1e63…7267 SELL No $1.15 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $28.28 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $47.25 1h ago
- 0x208e…1686 BUY Yes $25.56 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $47.25 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $47.17 1h ago
- 0x1e63…7267 BUY No $1.22 1h ago
- 0x335a…e5b8 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $1.85 2h ago
- 0x683c…0308 SELL Yes $7.43 2h ago
- 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.47 2h ago
- 0xa5cb…b55c BUY Yes $30.68 2h ago
- 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $4.54 2h ago
- 0xc11c…4139 SELL Yes $9.91 2h ago
- 0x090e…abad BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
- 0xa996…34b5 BUY No $1.81 2h ago
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $0.27 2h ago
- 0x44bc…9052 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $0.55 2h ago
- 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $0.57 2h ago
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Comments
i dont think rodri again...
atp I want HK to win, just so I dont have to read any stupid comments anymore
Then bet on him
Kane is most likely the winner guys, don’t listen bs comment
Then bet more on him
I understand Most of you Guys love HK and will Not Push his odds below 20% before Game day because you think he win. So be it and wait patiently for 26.10
Stop posting shit bro if u know a bit of probability and football is stupid to bet against Kane. Stop making stupid comments and fooling people
The Final outcome is anyway not decided here or by fluctuations. So you have at least a 60% Chance of losing your bet in case the odds here are probable if you have the Guts to hold till end
I have the guts to do anything I could beat your ass also
Then always place counterbets to what I do, kid
Most likely will not go Kanes way at 40% propability. Let’s just wait Till 26.10 to see who makes it
Anything below Rodri no will print, this will most likely go Kane's way, but Yamal and Rodri are not out of the question
Kane✝️
See You on gamedayy
Ruiz and Cubarsi silently climbing, I think at election day Lamine be at 30% Rodri, Messi Mbappe all near 15% Dembele 5% and HK The Rest. And then at election day its gonna be ,surprise’ Messi and then there will be an outbreak of discussions but the GOAT factor might still decide over all the uncertainties and undecisiveness.
You are trippin bro, inform yourself first
See You on gameday
You didn’t said any heavy reason for Kane to not win the trophy, so pls watch some football
I Read what Journalists wrote, Bro just wait Till 26.10 for the result. We will Not Sell early anyway
Who tf is Q ?
Quagmire
Pau Cubarsí
Why not kvara?
He's was truly the best of last season. Sad he was not at the world cup
He can't beat Kane and Yamal
Having once played Golf with the best President of all time and resembling him the Most optically doesn’t automatically make you win Ballon D automatically ok?
I feel like this more of a voting poll rather than actual DD. In that case better to hit the lower brackets. Lamine good contender for just behind hella young. Mbappe probably the best contender.
Yes likely
HK Not even being on FIFA Top11 makes him currently bounce on all other markets. I guess the response here is langging hardcore, but it will come. And of Not I will just wait till election day.
Dude, we all know you’re trying to sell your position. But your comments aren’t going to help, so stop posting here every single day.
I think I will wait Till end of day and See what happens no matter what and perhaps increase bet. I want to observe if bettors react to logical Events and the News of them or if the betting scheme is a black hole. I am not here to win a Fairness Price like Paredes but to observe bettors Behavior. So I might be Posting News still Independent of the likeability
how is kane there after not even being part of best 11 at the world cup? he will miss out on fifpro 11 too and will be the first ballon dor who isnt one of the best 11 players in a season. outscored by mbappe in every competition by a mile.
Fullyagree
Kane will simply Not win
why kane
Cause Most americans like his Looks and political appeal
I wish somebody else won it, but it's very likely Kane will take it home. Finally something is coming home! Ahaahaaa
Not After missing Fifa 11
best playe
Lamine
People who sold Mbappe Yes at 11 is donating money, they should build a charity foundation. Mbappe should be at level with Kane if not more.
are you out of your damn mind? Kane scored like 2x more goals and actually won the 3rd place in the WC, add the fact he won Bundesliga too and Mbappe did not win Primera and you're cooked, nobody will be voting for Mbappe
Without winning a single trophy lmao do you understand on what criteria the BO is given?
Definitely in front of HK
Definitely more
Annoying is that no
I know Kane is the sharp side because everyone in the comments is fading him. Whenever in doubt, fade the public!
Not always the case Kane will Not win
Being a favorite
Kane out of Dream Team of FIFA, are all of you crazy thinking he will win Ballon D'or LOL?
I wish somebody else won, but it's very likely Kane will take it home. Finally something is coming home! Ahaahaaa
He never wins it
People are going nuts only cause HK Hang out with their President before and played Golf
The best player ever shows up and produce yet another masterpiece, being by far the best player in the World Cup at the modest age of 39. 4 cents? I'll take those odds
It should be a 50 50 I might buy in and then Sell for 5X later before election day. The question will be is the GOAT Influenced Voting Block bigger or the pure Season Block
Paredes should also be nominated.
Being a favorite doesn’t always mean winning. In the US election of 1948 President Harry S Truman Beat Thomas Dewey After being down 1:15 in the Traded market odds. I bet the same will Happen Here.
What is Annoying is that now have to wait until 26.10 until Lamine Lands in Front of Kane. This should have been an easy win where Kane should stand at 5% now. Now Need to wait to Book the win so annoying
not sure you should be holding half ur net worth on this mate
I will Watch all the predictions before final day on YouTube, Journals e.g. if I am 100% Sure and See the market is mispriced due to 1 continent betting on HK I am ready to throw 5 Bitcoins